Mr. Market is both charming and bipolar

Mr. Market is both charming and bipolar – With all the recent volatility in the stock market, Jeff Perry and Russ Ball discuss a recent article published in BottomLine magazine which highlights the investing lessons from Benjamim Graham, who...
Mr. Market is both charming and bipolar – With all the recent volatility in the stock
market, Jeff Perry and Russ Ball discuss a recent article published in BottomLine
magazine which highlights the investing lessons from Benjamim Graham, who authored
“The Intelligent Investor” in 1949. Jeff & Russ outline the lessons from Mr. Graham
who describes “Mr. Market” as a bipolar fellow, very charming but suffering from
incurable emotional problems. Some days, he shows up feeling euphoric and will sell to
you only at unreasonably high prices. Other times, he is panicked for no obvious reason
and desperate to sell at any price. Listen in to the lively and fun conversation.
For more information or to reach TEAM AMR, click the following link:
https://www.wealthenhancement.com/s/advisor-teams/amr
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Welcome to Something More with Chris Boyd.
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Chris Boyd is a Certified Financial Planner Practitioner
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and Senior Vice President and Financial Advisor at
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Wealth Enhancement Group, one of the nation's largest
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registered investment advisors.
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We call it Something More because we'd like
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to talk not only about those important dollar
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and cents issues, but also the quality of
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life issues that make the money matters matter.
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Here he is, your fulfillment facilitator, your partner
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in prosperity, advising clients on Cape Cod and
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across the country.
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Here's your host, Jay Christopher Boyd.
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Well, hello, and welcome to another edition of
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Something More with Chris Boyd.
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Chris Boyd is off this week, so you
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have myself, Jeff Perry, and Russ Ball as
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your host for this week's episode of Something
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More.
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Russ, thanks for making the time to join
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me.
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Yeah, of course.
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Happy to be with you, Jeff.
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We were joking, as we do frequently.
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We were joking as we started the recording
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of I wonder how many people are going
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to see the headline of the podcast and
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click it to see what it is.
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If you're just listening and you didn't see
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the headline because you just listened to all
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the shows and subscribed, then we appreciate you
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subscribing and listening all the time.
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Mr. Market, he's both charming and bipolar.
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I think it's the perfect time for to
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go back and to do some thoughts about
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the market, certainly, and to review a book
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that has been reviewed time and time again,
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The Intelligent Investor.
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It's a famous book by Benjamin Graham, and
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what got it on my radar is I
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was reading Bottom Line magazine, which is a
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magazine that I enjoy, and there was an
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article about Warren Buffett.
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We all like to learn about the Oracle
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of Omaha and how he makes his decisions.
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For those listeners who might have heard his
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name and don't know who he is, he's
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the CEO of Berkshire Hathaway, and he's a
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legendary investor.
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Lots of people in the financial services business
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and individual investors really follow him, and he's
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proven to be right time and time again.
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When asked who he learned everything from, who
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was his mentor, where did he get his
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foundation for his investment principles, I guess he
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always says the same thing, that he got
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them from Benjamin Graham and the book, The
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Intelligent Investor.
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Right.
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He actually studied under Benjamin Graham, so he's
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definitely a mentor of Warren Buffett.
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When some market volatility hits, it's always good
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to go back and see what the people
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who've been through it all have to say,
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and going back to their sage words of
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wisdom.
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Most people, when they have a career in
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a certain field, usually can point to something
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that a professor certainly is relevant, and that
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happens frequently, or a boss early in your
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career, a supervisor, or sometimes it's a book,
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or something that a class that you took.
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One of the first books that I read
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that had a meaningful impact on me was
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Peter Lynch's book, one up on Wall Street,
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the Main Street kind of logic, like keep
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it simple, invest in what you know, don't
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be too aggressive.
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I still follow the lessons of Peter Lynch,
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and certainly Warren Buffett.
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Back to, I went on a small tangent.
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Have you read a book or had an
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impact that has seemingly stuck with you yet?
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I know you're relatively new in your career,
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but have something jumped out to you?
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I have actually read that book by Peter
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Lynch.
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I thought that was probably the first investing
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book that I read.
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It was a little bit over my head,
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I would say, some parts of it, but
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the core fundamentals definitely resonated.
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A little bit more recently, within the last
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few years, I read a random walk down
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Wall Street by, I think, Burton Malkiel, and
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he talks about all the different bubbles that
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have occurred over time.
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It kind of goes through a little bit
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of a history of the market, and then
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gets a little bit more granular on the
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past allocation, and different trends that have guided
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markets.
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It's been updated over and over the years,
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but I found that to be a really
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useful resource, and definitely frames the way I
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think about investing now in this role.
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Well, I think it's important that you go
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back, and not you specifically, but all of
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us, and learn the lessons that have been
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learned from history, because in these times of
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volatile markets, and we're certainly in a time
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of extreme volatility, if you have that base
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of knowledge, if you have studied under people
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who espouse certain principles, like Benjamin Graham, Warren
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Buffett, Peter Lynch, and we could add others,
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we're missing some, of course, but you know
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not to make certain mistakes that feel right
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at the moment, or out of good times
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or bad times, and that's why the headline
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of this podcast is Mr. Market, so Mr.
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Market is the stock market, primarily, both charming,
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because the Mr. Market can be charming, and
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bipolar, and lately, I guess since President Trump
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announced his tariff plan, I don't know if
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it's a plan, but his tariffs feel like
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a plan, I hope it's a plan, since
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his tariff policy, the market has been acting
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in a, not to misuse the word, I
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know it's a mental disease for some people,
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but in a very volatile way, right, up
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and down, seemingly for no reason, and that's
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part of what was in this article, so
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I thought as we're co-hosting today, it
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would be fun to go through the principles
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of Benjamin Graham, and now Warren Buffett, and
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many of us, and kind of try to
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relate them to where we are, because it's,
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you know, it's right on point, right, it's
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right on point.
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Definitely, and you know, reading this article, this
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was definitely the first time I've heard of
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this idea of Mr. Market, kind of personifying
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the market, I think that helps, like to
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make it a little bit more relatable, where
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you're watching the market day after day, and
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it seems to swing on, you know, a
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tweet here, a tweet there, there's no, seemingly
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no rival reason some days.
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More amazing than in my memory, like that
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one tweet, or one suggestion, or one even
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comment at walking down the hallway, can, yeah,
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dramatically move, dramatically move the market, and you
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know, this is like an idea of making
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Mr. Market a character that you consider.
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Yeah, maybe you want to dive into some
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of your thoughts on that, yeah.
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After, let me describe it, because it has
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four sections in this article that's going off
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of Intelligent Investor by Benjamin Graham.
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The first one is handling stock market volatility,
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and that's where we're introduced to Mr. Market.
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So Benjamin Graham describes Mr. Market as a
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bipolar fellow, very charming, but suffering from incurable
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emotional problems.
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Some days he shows up feeling euphoric, and
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will sell to you only at a reasonably
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high price.
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Other times he's no obvious reason, he's desperate
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to sell at any price.
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Mr. Market constantly moves between degrees of unsustainable
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optimism and unjustified pessimism, and I think that's
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how many people feel lately, you know.
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The market's down.
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So how many times, you know, do you
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hear a client when the market is down,
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or a friend, or you know, just a
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neighbor or whatever, the market's down, and then
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the next statement is something like, I gotta
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get out.
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I can't stand this, I gotta get out.
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Or when the market was at record highs,
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people would say, the market's doing so good,
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have you seen it?
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I gotta get in.
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I gotta buy more.
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And I think that's what Mr. Graham's suggesting,
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is that he's making kind of some wrong
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decisions at the wrong time.
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I mean, don't we want to buy low
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and sell high?
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I mean, that's not oversimplify it, but.
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Yeah, and I think a lot of investors
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and just people that have money in the
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market think, well, let's get out when things
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are starting to go down, let's get back
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in when things are starting to go up.
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If it were only that easy, we all
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wouldn't lose any money.
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Yeah, go ahead.
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Yeah, I think this idea, one piece I
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highlighted here is just the idea that there's
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nothing you can do to reason with Mr.
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Market or, you know, there's just, there's going
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to be those mood swings, it's going to
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happen day to day.
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And maybe the more you focus on, I
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don't know if this was specifically noted, but
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the more you focus on it, the more
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you're prone to have that way of thinking
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sort of temperamental and all over the place
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with the market.
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Better to think of it, all right, that's
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what Mr. Market's going to do.
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And I'm going to do my own thing.
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Yeah, excellent point.
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And I think you're also right about the
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focusing of it.
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I think people who, there's a fine line
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between being informed and being just so emotionally
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attached to what's going on.
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And this can be, geez, in the days
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of 24-hour breaking news, and you know,
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all the cable channels who are rooting for
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one team or another, and usually we watch
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what our team is, you know, so you
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can get, especially if you don't have a
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you know, distractions, if you don't have a
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job that you go to and leave the
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TV or the computer, you know, if you're
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focused in on these either market moves or
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news cycles, you can really get so absorbed
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into it that it can change your, certainly
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change your emotions, you can worry, you can
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be overly excited like Mr. Market sometime, and
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you can make the wrong decisions, or you
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can worry about things that you have no
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control about.
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And I think that's, and taking into account
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that he wrote this book in 1949, he's
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not writing it in the, I'm describing the
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current setting where we have all this stuff
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coming at us, and we can get totally
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absorbed by it.
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He's writing this, you know, 76 years ago.
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And that's, it's very insightful.
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And it's still, it's probably more true today
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than it was in 1949.
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So your point is well taken.
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Don't get into the emotional decisions of the
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volatility, because it's probably going to be wrong.
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One another thing, you were listing some things
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that you've heard people say, and they're all
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correct is, I'm going to get out now.
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And I'm going to get in back in
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when things settle.
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Yeah.
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I'm, you know, I've been in the market
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for 35 years, say, things haven't settled.
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It can be, you know, the economic cycle,
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boom or bust, it can be the political
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cycle, it can be wars or things in
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the news that you concern, it can be
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trade, it can be foreign relations, it can
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be whatever it might be, seasonal adjusted stuff,
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inflation, stagflation, recession, whatever it is, it's never
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settled.
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There's no bell that rings and says, it's
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now a good time to get in.
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Right?
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Exactly.
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Yeah.
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So don't be affected by the day to
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day volatility.
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If you're hanging out with Mr. Market, and
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he's going off on one of his euphoric
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happiness, don't think that it's time to get
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in.
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And if he's having a bad pessimistic day,
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and you're a long term investor, it's not
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time to get out probably.
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Right.
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Right.
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One more part about volatility, I'm going to
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ask you about is dollar cost averaging, right?
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So take it from there, because I think
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a lot of people don't understand or don't
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appreciate the concept of it.
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And why, especially the younger you are, but
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certainly any age, why it's so valuable and
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why people should participate in it.
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Yeah, well, personally, in my investing life, I
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definitely preferred dollar cost averaging and cost support.
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Now there's mixed research that says, you know,
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it might be better to just put all
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your money in at once.
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And just for context, dollar cost averaging would
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be, rather than investing all in one go,
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let's say you had $10,000 to invest,
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you can decide to invest it tomorrow, or
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you can spread it out over time.
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So if the market goes up, you're participating
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in that growth.
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If it goes down, you're buying at lower
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prices and you just spread out your $10
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,000, let's say, over a couple of months,
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three months, four months, whatever it is, any
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period of time that you like, that would
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be dollar cost averaging.
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And for me, psychologically, it just is something
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that really resonates.
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It's like, if I continue to contribute, and
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that's usually what you're doing with a 401k
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or your work plan.
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If you continue to contribute, you're always going
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to be feeling like, well, you know, I
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had this at a loss, but at least
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I'm still investing now.
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So it's going to grow from here.
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So I think a lot of, as I
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said, the research is a little mixed as
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far as, is it more advantageous, is it
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optimal to dollar cost average or to invest
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all at once?
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Typically, the longer you're invested, the better.
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But psychologically, it's definitely a useful tool just
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to get over that hurdle.
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If you don't feel like you're ready to
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commit, with all the volatility we've seen, not
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a lot of people are thinking, oh yeah,
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I'm just going to invest everything I have
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right now that's been sitting on the sidelines.
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Like now's the perfect time.
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You just don't know what the market's going
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to do tomorrow.
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And it can be intimidating.
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Some people don't care about that stuff, but
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other people do.
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Dollar cost averaging is a way around that.
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Very good.
340
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I share that sentiment.
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Exactly.
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00:14:51,570 --> 00:14:54,730
And so, you know, with the volatility, don't
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make rash decisions, don't make emotional decisions.
344
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And if you're not sure, sometimes the best
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thing to do is nothing.
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00:15:02,410 --> 00:15:03,790
And it's always a good idea when you're
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00:15:03,790 --> 00:15:06,330
feeling uncertain is to call your investment advisor
348
00:15:06,330 --> 00:15:08,230
and talk it out.
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00:15:08,350 --> 00:15:10,190
Talk about if you're in the risk allocation,
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the risk profile and asset allocation.
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00:15:14,870 --> 00:15:17,070
And, you know, I think some of the
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times the best service that we as fiduciaries,
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00:15:20,810 --> 00:15:23,170
meaning people who put our clients' best interest
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first, both legally and ethically, I think sometimes
355
00:15:26,990 --> 00:15:29,250
we give them, our clients, the most value
356
00:15:29,250 --> 00:15:32,390
when they have these feelings, like Mr. Market,
357
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when they're feeling emotional about their finances, worried
358
00:15:35,590 --> 00:15:39,510
about them or too euphoric about them and
359
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talking to them about their long-term financial
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plan.
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00:15:42,090 --> 00:15:43,070
I know we've been doing a lot of
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00:15:43,070 --> 00:15:45,370
that with clients, reviewing their financial plan and
363
00:15:45,370 --> 00:15:49,310
saying, okay, what's changed since we reviewed it
364
00:15:49,310 --> 00:15:49,930
last time?
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00:15:50,810 --> 00:15:53,550
Often very little because these are long-term
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financial plans.
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And it gives most clients the feeling of
368
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stability.
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00:16:00,110 --> 00:16:01,910
And, you know, once again, they can see
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00:16:01,910 --> 00:16:04,090
what their long-term plan is, that their
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00:16:04,090 --> 00:16:06,950
cashflow is there, and that we expect as
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00:16:06,950 --> 00:16:11,090
part of our projections, corrections in the market,
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and we expect bear markets from time to
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time.
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And that's all factored into our clients' projections.
376
00:16:18,350 --> 00:16:18,530
Yeah.
377
00:16:18,670 --> 00:16:20,350
And we've been doing a lot of stress
378
00:16:20,350 --> 00:16:23,190
testing as well, at least over here, Jeff,
379
00:16:23,250 --> 00:16:26,090
I'm sure you have too, just looking at
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00:16:26,090 --> 00:16:28,290
the what-if scenarios, what if the market
381
00:16:28,290 --> 00:16:30,870
goes down, what if taxes are higher, what
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00:16:30,870 --> 00:16:34,950
if these tariffs go into effect, what is
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00:16:34,950 --> 00:16:35,550
that going to do?
384
00:16:36,090 --> 00:16:38,490
And a lot of clients come in understandably
385
00:16:38,490 --> 00:16:40,750
worried and saying, you know, this is different,
386
00:16:40,850 --> 00:16:41,670
this time it's different.
387
00:16:42,430 --> 00:16:44,890
And what I keep hearing and reading again
388
00:16:44,890 --> 00:16:46,350
and again, and as you can see with
389
00:16:46,350 --> 00:16:49,870
this article we're referencing, it's from the book
390
00:16:49,870 --> 00:16:52,550
that was written in the mid-20th century,
391
00:16:53,910 --> 00:16:56,710
that yes, it might feel different, but this
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00:16:56,710 --> 00:16:58,770
kind of thing happens time and time again.
393
00:16:59,110 --> 00:17:02,570
And the market has consistently proven to be
394
00:17:02,570 --> 00:17:03,890
the best hedge against inflation.
395
00:17:05,390 --> 00:17:07,270
So there are certain assumptions that we can
396
00:17:07,270 --> 00:17:08,310
make based on history.
397
00:17:08,930 --> 00:17:10,849
There are things that are going to unsettle
398
00:17:10,849 --> 00:17:11,609
that in the short term.
399
00:17:11,650 --> 00:17:13,530
And I think that's Mr. Market, you know,
400
00:17:13,750 --> 00:17:15,930
I think that's the idea of this piece
401
00:17:15,930 --> 00:17:16,190
here.
402
00:17:16,630 --> 00:17:18,630
And one other piece that I highlighted in
403
00:17:18,630 --> 00:17:22,569
the section we're discussing is, it says, view
404
00:17:22,569 --> 00:17:25,349
volatility not as a debilitating handicap, but as
405
00:17:25,349 --> 00:17:28,130
opportunity to sell to the optimist and buy
406
00:17:28,130 --> 00:17:28,890
from the pessimist.
407
00:17:29,070 --> 00:17:31,470
So I thought that was pretty useful and
408
00:17:31,470 --> 00:17:33,450
kind of being that contrarian mindset and you
409
00:17:33,450 --> 00:17:34,630
kind of have to take a step back
410
00:17:34,630 --> 00:17:37,410
and not go along with the flow just
411
00:17:37,410 --> 00:17:40,590
because everyone's nervous and panicking and freaking out.
412
00:17:41,270 --> 00:17:43,250
That's a great lead-in to number two
413
00:17:43,250 --> 00:17:44,810
is deal with investment at risk.
414
00:17:46,890 --> 00:17:49,370
And, you know, the concept of putting a
415
00:17:49,370 --> 00:17:52,470
fair value or a good value on a
416
00:17:52,470 --> 00:17:54,710
particular stock or a sector or whatever you're
417
00:17:54,710 --> 00:17:56,610
investing in, most of the sections talk about
418
00:17:56,610 --> 00:17:57,590
individual stocks.
419
00:17:57,790 --> 00:17:59,870
They talk about Warren Buffett's, you know, the
420
00:17:59,870 --> 00:18:02,490
cigar butt reference and people think of a
421
00:18:02,490 --> 00:18:04,390
cigar butt as something that's been thrown away
422
00:18:04,390 --> 00:18:05,050
by someone.
423
00:18:05,890 --> 00:18:11,390
And Buffett has been famous for finding companies
424
00:18:11,390 --> 00:18:13,650
that are cigar butts, if you will, meaning
425
00:18:13,650 --> 00:18:17,150
they're not worthless, but they're not appreciated appropriately,
426
00:18:17,330 --> 00:18:17,550
right?
427
00:18:18,030 --> 00:18:21,630
And so when I was reading this, certainly
428
00:18:21,630 --> 00:18:23,390
all true, but it brought me back to
429
00:18:23,390 --> 00:18:26,050
Peter Lynch and how things I learned from
430
00:18:26,050 --> 00:18:29,470
his lessons and what he did at Fidelity
431
00:18:29,470 --> 00:18:33,570
is to set evaluations of a company and
432
00:18:33,570 --> 00:18:35,530
have a reason that you're buying it, right?
433
00:18:35,590 --> 00:18:37,770
Whether that's a price target, because you think
434
00:18:37,770 --> 00:18:39,110
it's a cigar butt and it's going to
435
00:18:39,110 --> 00:18:41,870
be appreciated in the near future, or if
436
00:18:41,870 --> 00:18:44,250
you think it's potentially going to be sold
437
00:18:44,250 --> 00:18:46,030
and, you know, get a premium for that.
438
00:18:46,590 --> 00:18:48,330
But to have a reason why you buy
439
00:18:48,330 --> 00:18:51,870
it and to have a target, because it's,
440
00:18:51,970 --> 00:18:54,470
I believe, the hardest thing to do when
441
00:18:54,470 --> 00:18:56,370
you buy an individual stock, and it could
442
00:18:56,370 --> 00:18:57,810
be an investment, you know, it could be
443
00:18:57,810 --> 00:18:59,530
a mutual fund, but it's harder with an
444
00:18:59,530 --> 00:19:01,550
individual stock is not when to buy it.
445
00:19:01,950 --> 00:19:05,030
You know, you hear something, you read something,
446
00:19:05,030 --> 00:19:07,970
you do some analysis, your advisor maybe gives
447
00:19:07,970 --> 00:19:09,950
you advice, we think you should buy X,
448
00:19:10,030 --> 00:19:10,530
Y, or Z.
449
00:19:11,370 --> 00:19:13,590
It's when to sell it, right?
450
00:19:14,110 --> 00:19:16,330
Because two things, back to Mr. Market a
451
00:19:16,330 --> 00:19:18,930
little bit, but it's relevant in the category
452
00:19:18,930 --> 00:19:21,230
of having fair value and having good value.
453
00:19:22,730 --> 00:19:26,070
People get emotionally attached to a stock, they
454
00:19:26,070 --> 00:19:27,530
bought it, it did well, and they can
455
00:19:27,530 --> 00:19:29,870
hold on to it far beyond the price
456
00:19:29,870 --> 00:19:33,450
target they set, or it can go the
457
00:19:33,450 --> 00:19:34,790
reason that you bought it in the first
458
00:19:34,790 --> 00:19:35,170
place.
459
00:19:35,690 --> 00:19:37,550
I bought it because I had a healthy
460
00:19:37,550 --> 00:19:40,350
view of this sector, I thought this company
461
00:19:40,350 --> 00:19:43,230
had good products and was not appropriately valued.
462
00:19:43,650 --> 00:19:45,850
So that says that you should sell it
463
00:19:45,850 --> 00:19:49,490
if the market recognizes that value and starts
464
00:19:49,490 --> 00:19:52,030
to give you a premium for it, but
465
00:19:52,030 --> 00:19:54,850
you might own it too long, or something
466
00:19:54,850 --> 00:19:57,230
could change on the negative, you could make
467
00:19:57,230 --> 00:19:59,270
a mistake when you bought it, and it
468
00:19:59,270 --> 00:20:00,990
could go down, and then it's tough to
469
00:20:00,990 --> 00:20:03,590
say I made a mistake, you know, personally,
470
00:20:03,830 --> 00:20:05,150
I made a mistake.
471
00:20:06,450 --> 00:20:09,050
Things have changed, or what I assumed was
472
00:20:09,050 --> 00:20:11,010
true was not, I should sell it and
473
00:20:11,010 --> 00:20:11,730
cut my losses.
474
00:20:13,070 --> 00:20:15,650
And I think dealing with that investment risk
475
00:20:15,650 --> 00:20:18,870
of being, this is the last one, I
476
00:20:18,870 --> 00:20:19,910
don't want to jump to it, but being
477
00:20:19,910 --> 00:20:22,090
disciplined and having a reason why you bought
478
00:20:22,090 --> 00:20:24,010
it, and having a reason why you would
479
00:20:24,010 --> 00:20:27,530
sell something, really makes a lot of sense.
480
00:20:29,850 --> 00:20:32,470
Yeah, I think, you know, just looking at
481
00:20:32,470 --> 00:20:36,130
the companies you're buying, or whatever investments you're
482
00:20:36,130 --> 00:20:39,630
looking at, the idea of entry points kind
483
00:20:39,630 --> 00:20:43,370
of matter as well, and you know, every
484
00:20:43,370 --> 00:20:45,650
stock is going to come with risk, it's
485
00:20:45,650 --> 00:20:46,550
just inevitable.
486
00:20:47,250 --> 00:20:49,930
The stock swings, you know, year to year,
487
00:20:50,230 --> 00:20:51,650
and within the year, and then it ends
488
00:20:51,650 --> 00:20:54,410
up at a high, so individual names especially
489
00:20:54,410 --> 00:20:57,890
are, you know, always going to carry some
490
00:20:57,890 --> 00:21:00,770
risk, but part of that analysis is, you
491
00:21:00,770 --> 00:21:02,590
know, is this a company I like over
492
00:21:02,590 --> 00:21:03,230
the long term?
493
00:21:03,690 --> 00:21:06,170
Is this a company that is trading at
494
00:21:06,170 --> 00:21:08,430
a valuation that I think is reasonable relative
495
00:21:08,430 --> 00:21:09,290
to where it's going to be?
496
00:21:09,330 --> 00:21:12,590
I think definitely on our team, that's what
497
00:21:12,590 --> 00:21:14,630
Brian does in the stock portfolio that he
498
00:21:14,630 --> 00:21:17,010
runs, and he's taking a look at all
499
00:21:17,010 --> 00:21:20,410
the various analytics, and all the things that
500
00:21:20,410 --> 00:21:23,710
he's, you know, trying to do, and determine
501
00:21:23,710 --> 00:21:25,550
those different price points.
502
00:21:26,710 --> 00:21:29,990
So just, yeah, I think having that perspective
503
00:21:29,990 --> 00:21:32,710
definitely changes the way you think as a
504
00:21:32,710 --> 00:21:33,310
long term investor.
505
00:21:33,730 --> 00:21:36,130
Yeah, and don't have, it's not in this
506
00:21:36,130 --> 00:21:39,070
article, but you know, investors, individual investors who
507
00:21:39,070 --> 00:21:42,470
do buy and sell stocks can have some
508
00:21:42,470 --> 00:21:47,070
some problems of being too confident in their
509
00:21:47,070 --> 00:21:48,170
own ability, right?
510
00:21:48,290 --> 00:21:50,730
I mean, you're buying and selling stocks with
511
00:21:50,730 --> 00:21:55,690
organizations against, basically, because you're buying something, selling
512
00:21:55,690 --> 00:22:00,050
or selling something somebody's buying, and they often
513
00:22:00,050 --> 00:22:02,870
have a lot more insight into the market,
514
00:22:03,050 --> 00:22:07,130
insight into certain company, insight into what just
515
00:22:07,130 --> 00:22:09,770
happened, you know, but inside a board room
516
00:22:09,770 --> 00:22:10,910
or with a sector.
517
00:22:11,830 --> 00:22:14,830
So use caution and control your investment risk.
518
00:22:14,950 --> 00:22:16,710
And you can do that with diversification, you
519
00:22:16,710 --> 00:22:18,970
can do that with professional management.
520
00:22:21,510 --> 00:22:23,290
Yeah, I think that's the point there.
521
00:22:23,750 --> 00:22:25,410
The third point is you started to talk
522
00:22:25,410 --> 00:22:27,590
about was maintain a long term perspective.
523
00:22:27,810 --> 00:22:30,970
And that's, you know, the, it's bolded in
524
00:22:30,970 --> 00:22:33,170
the article, stop thinking of a stock prices
525
00:22:33,170 --> 00:22:35,470
as a bet on a flashing ticker symbol
526
00:22:35,470 --> 00:22:38,830
on your computer screen or TV.
527
00:22:39,870 --> 00:22:42,970
The reality is, you're part of a real
528
00:22:42,970 --> 00:22:44,790
business, you own, you own something, right.
529
00:22:44,910 --> 00:22:48,030
So and the other part of that was,
530
00:22:48,310 --> 00:22:49,810
and I like this very much.
531
00:22:49,870 --> 00:22:52,090
It's a quote from Benjamin Graham, remember that
532
00:22:52,090 --> 00:22:53,610
over the short term, the market is a
533
00:22:53,610 --> 00:22:54,350
voting machine.
534
00:22:54,890 --> 00:22:56,790
Like on any one given day, at any
535
00:22:56,790 --> 00:22:58,210
one given moment, who do you want to
536
00:22:58,210 --> 00:22:58,890
be your president?
537
00:22:59,370 --> 00:23:01,390
Who's buying and selling the stock?
538
00:23:02,810 --> 00:23:04,090
That's not in the quote, by the way.
539
00:23:05,010 --> 00:23:05,850
Back to the quote.
540
00:23:06,430 --> 00:23:08,310
But in the long run, it's a weighing
541
00:23:08,310 --> 00:23:08,790
machine.
542
00:23:09,810 --> 00:23:09,910
Right?
543
00:23:09,990 --> 00:23:13,650
So it's more deliberate, it's more measured, it's
544
00:23:13,650 --> 00:23:15,910
looking at everything over periods of time.
545
00:23:16,510 --> 00:23:16,870
Yeah.
546
00:23:17,190 --> 00:23:18,810
And it's not, it's not just looking at
547
00:23:18,810 --> 00:23:21,130
the one day it's up, one day it's
548
00:23:21,130 --> 00:23:23,070
down, it's looking big picture, taking a step
549
00:23:23,070 --> 00:23:23,390
back.
550
00:23:23,730 --> 00:23:25,110
And I really like that what you what
551
00:23:25,110 --> 00:23:25,630
you mentioned.
552
00:23:25,950 --> 00:23:27,110
I thought that was a good point, too.
553
00:23:27,170 --> 00:23:28,150
It's not a bet.
554
00:23:28,230 --> 00:23:31,110
It's not like, yeah, this is a, this
555
00:23:31,110 --> 00:23:31,930
feels like a good bet.
556
00:23:32,010 --> 00:23:33,710
This is like a better than 5050 bet.
557
00:23:33,810 --> 00:23:35,390
It's like, no, if you like the company
558
00:23:35,390 --> 00:23:37,930
you're buying, you like the sector you're buying
559
00:23:37,930 --> 00:23:41,530
into over the long term, and you're going
560
00:23:41,530 --> 00:23:44,390
to be investing that literally, you're going to
561
00:23:44,390 --> 00:23:46,570
become a part owner of it or a
562
00:23:46,570 --> 00:23:47,690
participant in it.
563
00:23:47,890 --> 00:23:51,730
With all the sports betting opportunities out there.
564
00:23:53,210 --> 00:23:55,870
Maybe, maybe you get a better chance at
565
00:23:55,870 --> 00:23:58,470
picking your favorite basketball team in the playoffs
566
00:23:58,470 --> 00:24:02,070
here, then you do have analyzing a stock
567
00:24:02,070 --> 00:24:03,430
and picking on a certain day at a
568
00:24:03,430 --> 00:24:05,950
certain moment, whether or not the price is
569
00:24:05,950 --> 00:24:07,650
right and what the future of that is.
570
00:24:09,130 --> 00:24:11,070
But that goes on to something he says
571
00:24:11,070 --> 00:24:14,190
in the last section of this article, with
572
00:24:14,190 --> 00:24:16,190
the title of the section four is develop
573
00:24:16,190 --> 00:24:17,170
emotional discipline.
574
00:24:17,810 --> 00:24:19,150
And there's a lot in there.
575
00:24:19,430 --> 00:24:21,690
But what I'm talking about is that one
576
00:24:21,690 --> 00:24:23,410
of the suggestions is to keep a mad
577
00:24:23,410 --> 00:24:24,190
money account.
578
00:24:24,190 --> 00:24:27,250
Um, so if you're compelled, I worked with
579
00:24:27,250 --> 00:24:28,750
a guy once, it was a long time
580
00:24:28,750 --> 00:24:28,990
ago.
581
00:24:29,510 --> 00:24:32,490
This is when you used to have to
582
00:24:32,490 --> 00:24:36,050
call your broker to buy a stock before
583
00:24:36,050 --> 00:24:36,890
your day, Russell.
584
00:24:39,670 --> 00:24:42,390
So he would read something in the paper,
585
00:24:42,390 --> 00:24:44,290
or someone would tell him something.
586
00:24:44,750 --> 00:24:46,270
And if he thought it was a good
587
00:24:46,270 --> 00:24:48,350
idea, he would literally say, I'll be right
588
00:24:48,350 --> 00:24:48,650
back.
589
00:24:49,130 --> 00:24:50,710
Kind of like the movies, you get the
590
00:24:50,710 --> 00:24:52,570
tip, he would go and call and say,
591
00:24:52,830 --> 00:24:55,790
give me 50 shares of whatever.
592
00:24:56,510 --> 00:24:59,610
And seems like it's a whole nother world.
593
00:24:59,710 --> 00:25:01,210
Actually, I'm sure a lot of our listeners
594
00:25:01,210 --> 00:25:02,190
remember those days.
595
00:25:02,450 --> 00:25:04,830
Now you can do it yourself or your
596
00:25:04,830 --> 00:25:06,030
advisors doing it for you.
597
00:25:06,270 --> 00:25:09,730
But, and he never talked about and I
598
00:25:09,730 --> 00:25:11,550
would, I would remember I was interested in
599
00:25:11,550 --> 00:25:11,850
this.
600
00:25:13,650 --> 00:25:15,170
I was investing myself.
601
00:25:15,490 --> 00:25:17,530
So I was listening and I didn't take
602
00:25:17,530 --> 00:25:17,930
notes.
603
00:25:18,190 --> 00:25:21,150
Obviously, he was a friend, but he never
604
00:25:21,150 --> 00:25:22,370
talked about his losers.
605
00:25:23,650 --> 00:25:24,130
Yeah.
606
00:25:24,870 --> 00:25:26,390
You know, and just like people who bet,
607
00:25:26,550 --> 00:25:26,750
right?
608
00:25:27,450 --> 00:25:30,170
Most people, most, most people who gamble, most
609
00:25:30,170 --> 00:25:32,330
people who go to Vegas or they do
610
00:25:32,330 --> 00:25:35,630
sports betting, and they say, you wouldn't believe
611
00:25:35,630 --> 00:25:35,790
it.
612
00:25:35,990 --> 00:25:37,970
I went to Vegas this weekend and I
613
00:25:37,970 --> 00:25:38,890
won $5,000.
614
00:25:39,230 --> 00:25:39,710
Right.
615
00:25:39,890 --> 00:25:40,330
Yeah.
616
00:25:41,530 --> 00:25:43,390
And they believe me folks.
617
00:25:43,390 --> 00:25:45,530
And I think, you know, this, there are
618
00:25:45,530 --> 00:25:46,850
no exceptions long-term.
619
00:25:47,370 --> 00:25:48,910
Somebody might get lucky, right?
620
00:25:49,030 --> 00:25:51,650
People do win the lottery, but most people
621
00:25:51,650 --> 00:25:54,090
who gamble or day trade, the data is
622
00:25:54,090 --> 00:25:56,050
very clear on either one.
623
00:25:56,670 --> 00:25:58,110
They do not make money.
624
00:25:59,430 --> 00:25:59,550
Right.
625
00:26:00,010 --> 00:26:02,270
But still they tell you about their wins,
626
00:26:02,350 --> 00:26:02,550
right?
627
00:26:03,090 --> 00:26:03,370
Yeah.
628
00:26:03,430 --> 00:26:05,310
I have a very short memory for the,
629
00:26:05,310 --> 00:26:06,230
for the losers.
630
00:26:08,070 --> 00:26:10,950
So as part of this developing emotional discipline,
631
00:26:11,190 --> 00:26:14,650
I think Benjamin Graham and most people, most
632
00:26:14,650 --> 00:26:18,370
advisors, us included, know that some clients have
633
00:26:18,370 --> 00:26:20,470
this propensity that they want to pick their
634
00:26:20,470 --> 00:26:20,890
own stocks.
635
00:26:20,930 --> 00:26:21,770
They want to day trade.
636
00:26:22,110 --> 00:26:23,330
They want to invest short-term.
637
00:26:23,470 --> 00:26:26,590
They want to pick their own like things
638
00:26:26,590 --> 00:26:28,010
that they have a hunch about.
639
00:26:28,330 --> 00:26:30,830
And so they call it a, they call
640
00:26:30,830 --> 00:26:31,870
it a mad money account.
641
00:26:31,950 --> 00:26:34,790
We call it a sandbox account where clients
642
00:26:34,790 --> 00:26:36,290
will say, okay, I want you to manage
643
00:26:36,290 --> 00:26:37,450
our, this is super common.
644
00:26:38,070 --> 00:26:40,010
I've been with Chris five years now, and
645
00:26:40,010 --> 00:26:41,950
I did not know that this was common,
646
00:26:41,990 --> 00:26:44,970
but people are prudent enough.
647
00:26:45,150 --> 00:26:47,590
And, you know, wise enough to say, here's
648
00:26:47,590 --> 00:26:48,390
my nest egg.
649
00:26:49,050 --> 00:26:50,810
I know what I don't know.
650
00:26:51,510 --> 00:26:53,050
So I want you to manage it.
651
00:26:53,130 --> 00:26:54,450
And we, I want a financial plan.
652
00:26:54,590 --> 00:26:56,650
I want it professionally managed because they are
653
00:26:56,650 --> 00:27:00,310
smart enough to know that they should have
654
00:27:00,310 --> 00:27:01,390
some help, right?
655
00:27:01,850 --> 00:27:06,490
But they also have this desire to trade
656
00:27:06,490 --> 00:27:09,970
stocks or to make investments on their own.
657
00:27:10,110 --> 00:27:11,770
And so they have a sandbox account and,
658
00:27:11,970 --> 00:27:14,030
you know, obviously it comes from the idea
659
00:27:14,030 --> 00:27:15,670
of we're all kids at heart.
660
00:27:16,250 --> 00:27:18,230
We like, are you still playing the sandbox?
661
00:27:20,190 --> 00:27:22,150
So it's okay.
662
00:27:22,290 --> 00:27:24,450
If you have this propensity, it's having the
663
00:27:24,450 --> 00:27:26,230
discipline to keep it to a very small
664
00:27:26,230 --> 00:27:30,510
amount of your net worth and to keep
665
00:27:30,510 --> 00:27:33,230
it not part of your financial plan, just
666
00:27:33,230 --> 00:27:36,370
as if you had a, you know, a
667
00:27:36,370 --> 00:27:39,010
little secret fund where you gambled on sports
668
00:27:39,010 --> 00:27:42,170
that shouldn't be written into your financial plan.
669
00:27:42,290 --> 00:27:44,490
Either of that, when you turn 65, you're
670
00:27:44,490 --> 00:27:45,570
going to win the biggest bet of your
671
00:27:45,570 --> 00:27:47,310
life and that's your financial plan, right?
672
00:27:47,710 --> 00:27:47,850
Yeah.
673
00:27:48,350 --> 00:27:50,190
So emotional discipline.
674
00:27:51,370 --> 00:27:54,410
And it's interesting that it notes that Graham
675
00:27:54,410 --> 00:27:56,450
actually, it wasn't like, oh yeah, you can
676
00:27:56,450 --> 00:27:58,630
have your sandbox account and your mad money
677
00:27:58,630 --> 00:27:58,810
account.
678
00:27:58,850 --> 00:28:00,930
He actually advocated for the idea to have
679
00:28:00,930 --> 00:28:04,170
one of these like sandbox type accounts and
680
00:28:04,170 --> 00:28:07,750
speculating with restraint was what he recommended.
681
00:28:07,910 --> 00:28:09,170
I think that's the idea.
682
00:28:09,350 --> 00:28:11,790
Just, you know, a little smaller sum of
683
00:28:11,790 --> 00:28:13,410
money that you can play around with.
684
00:28:13,430 --> 00:28:14,490
You can take bets on those.
685
00:28:15,670 --> 00:28:17,030
And that's a little bit more like the
686
00:28:17,030 --> 00:28:17,350
betting.
687
00:28:17,950 --> 00:28:19,070
It is like betting.
688
00:28:19,310 --> 00:28:23,930
I mean, really anything short term, the analogy
689
00:28:23,930 --> 00:28:27,230
with sports betting is, I think, very accurate
690
00:28:27,230 --> 00:28:31,030
because, I mean, if you're sports bet, you
691
00:28:31,030 --> 00:28:32,850
don't, it's not like you're playing bingo and
692
00:28:32,850 --> 00:28:33,710
you're waiting for your number.
693
00:28:33,850 --> 00:28:36,210
It's just a random spin of the roulette
694
00:28:36,210 --> 00:28:37,530
wheel buying a lottery ticket.
695
00:28:37,610 --> 00:28:39,650
That's gambling, certainly.
696
00:28:39,830 --> 00:28:42,250
But when you're sports betting, most of the
697
00:28:42,250 --> 00:28:44,730
people that I know think that they know
698
00:28:44,730 --> 00:28:46,530
who's going to win the game or they
699
00:28:46,530 --> 00:28:49,650
think that they're confident in, you know, which
700
00:28:49,650 --> 00:28:52,430
basketball player is going to get the most
701
00:28:52,430 --> 00:28:54,070
points tonight in a playoff game.
702
00:28:54,690 --> 00:28:58,350
They make that bet with a feeling that
703
00:28:58,350 --> 00:29:00,070
they are going to win because of their
704
00:29:00,070 --> 00:29:03,470
knowledge and experience in watching basketball games.
705
00:29:04,010 --> 00:29:07,090
And the same thing really applies to day
706
00:29:07,090 --> 00:29:07,470
trading.
707
00:29:08,310 --> 00:29:10,970
Because you can be, you can study a
708
00:29:10,970 --> 00:29:14,610
company for a month.
709
00:29:14,830 --> 00:29:15,870
You can read everything.
710
00:29:16,070 --> 00:29:17,930
You can listen to all the earnings calls.
711
00:29:18,070 --> 00:29:19,110
You can watch CNBC.
712
00:29:19,390 --> 00:29:22,530
You can get advice from five different people
713
00:29:22,530 --> 00:29:24,270
about an individual stock.
714
00:29:24,270 --> 00:29:26,930
And if you're investing in it at one
715
00:29:26,930 --> 00:29:29,650
given time for a short term gain, there's
716
00:29:29,650 --> 00:29:31,410
no way any of those people that you
717
00:29:31,410 --> 00:29:33,570
talk to or anything that you read can
718
00:29:33,570 --> 00:29:36,010
accurately predict what's going to happen in the
719
00:29:36,010 --> 00:29:38,730
short term, which is, you know, a section
720
00:29:38,730 --> 00:29:41,710
we talked about long-term perspective.
721
00:29:42,410 --> 00:29:43,890
So you can be totally right.
722
00:29:44,010 --> 00:29:45,670
You can be totally right about the talent
723
00:29:45,670 --> 00:29:48,070
of Jason Tatum on the Celtics and he
724
00:29:48,070 --> 00:29:49,790
can still have a bad couple of games.
725
00:29:50,210 --> 00:29:50,650
Yeah.
726
00:29:51,110 --> 00:29:51,410
Right.
727
00:29:51,450 --> 00:29:53,750
And you can be totally right about hypothetically
728
00:29:53,750 --> 00:29:57,630
buying Apple because of X, Y, Z reasons.
729
00:29:57,810 --> 00:29:59,590
And they can be very valid, but that
730
00:29:59,590 --> 00:30:02,270
doesn't mean that something in the world, a
731
00:30:02,270 --> 00:30:07,290
tariff, a war, you know, whatever, one bad
732
00:30:07,290 --> 00:30:10,290
earnings report doesn't submarine that bet in the
733
00:30:10,290 --> 00:30:10,750
short term.
734
00:30:11,670 --> 00:30:14,210
So having that long-term perspective, keeping that
735
00:30:14,210 --> 00:30:18,590
emotional intelligence, watching out for stock market volatility
736
00:30:18,590 --> 00:30:21,750
and controlling your investment risk of the lessons
737
00:30:21,750 --> 00:30:25,030
of the day from Warren Buffett.
738
00:30:25,430 --> 00:30:27,650
Really, though, I mean, we give him credit
739
00:30:27,650 --> 00:30:30,390
for those, but really from his mentor and
740
00:30:30,390 --> 00:30:33,790
his professor and the author of The Intelligent
741
00:30:33,790 --> 00:30:34,910
Investor, Benjamin Graham.
742
00:30:35,130 --> 00:30:37,350
So thanks.
743
00:30:37,450 --> 00:30:39,190
Thanks for joining me today, Russ.
744
00:30:39,730 --> 00:30:41,250
I think it was a great discussion.
745
00:30:41,390 --> 00:30:43,990
It's really interesting to go back and put
746
00:30:43,990 --> 00:30:47,890
all that history starting in 1949, I guess,
747
00:30:48,450 --> 00:30:50,110
started before that, but when he writes the
748
00:30:50,110 --> 00:30:53,790
book 1949 and thinking about what Warren Buffett
749
00:30:53,790 --> 00:30:58,110
has learned from him, Benjamin Graham, and the
750
00:30:58,110 --> 00:30:59,310
success that he has had.
751
00:30:59,510 --> 00:31:02,170
And it just is smart to take these
752
00:31:02,170 --> 00:31:04,050
lessons of the people who've come before us
753
00:31:04,050 --> 00:31:05,630
and apply them to today's principles.
754
00:31:05,930 --> 00:31:07,350
And it kind of takes you out of
755
00:31:07,350 --> 00:31:07,990
your bubble too.
756
00:31:08,130 --> 00:31:10,850
It takes you, you know, away from this
757
00:31:10,850 --> 00:31:12,830
thinking of, oh my gosh, the market's doing
758
00:31:12,830 --> 00:31:14,410
this and that one day to the next.
759
00:31:14,410 --> 00:31:16,490
And when you build a big picture, like
760
00:31:16,490 --> 00:31:18,070
this kind of stuff has been happening for
761
00:31:18,070 --> 00:31:20,590
a very long time and we're not the
762
00:31:20,590 --> 00:31:21,930
first to go.
763
00:31:22,130 --> 00:31:23,230
I mean, we're the many of the first
764
00:31:23,230 --> 00:31:25,990
to go through something specifically like this scenario.
765
00:31:26,410 --> 00:31:29,890
And every time there's a new, this time
766
00:31:29,890 --> 00:31:30,430
is different.
767
00:31:30,890 --> 00:31:32,830
It's going to feel like this is brand
768
00:31:32,830 --> 00:31:32,950
new.
769
00:31:32,990 --> 00:31:34,630
This is like, this changes the game.
770
00:31:34,730 --> 00:31:35,610
This changes everything.
771
00:31:35,830 --> 00:31:38,350
But that has been happening for, you know,
772
00:31:38,390 --> 00:31:39,530
the last hundred plus years.
773
00:31:39,530 --> 00:31:40,190
Forever.
774
00:31:40,430 --> 00:31:40,670
You're right.
775
00:31:40,830 --> 00:31:43,850
It could have been the financial crisis, could
776
00:31:43,850 --> 00:31:44,930
have been the housing crisis.
777
00:31:45,210 --> 00:31:46,090
It could have been 9-11.
778
00:31:47,190 --> 00:31:50,270
It could have been COVID and now it's
779
00:31:50,270 --> 00:31:50,930
tariffs.
780
00:31:51,810 --> 00:31:54,870
So, you know what they say about mistakes,
781
00:31:55,090 --> 00:31:56,710
you're bound to repeat them unless you learn
782
00:31:56,710 --> 00:31:57,670
the lessons from history.
783
00:31:58,570 --> 00:32:00,390
So that was our intent today.
784
00:32:00,430 --> 00:32:02,790
And I hope you enjoyed the podcast and
785
00:32:02,790 --> 00:32:04,310
I hope you'll tune in each week to
786
00:32:04,310 --> 00:32:05,790
listen to something more with Chris Boyd.
787
00:32:05,890 --> 00:32:08,130
Chris Boyd will be back next week for
788
00:32:08,130 --> 00:32:09,330
another interesting topic.
789
00:32:09,470 --> 00:32:12,350
Until then, keep striving for something more.
790
00:32:37,390 --> 00:32:41,290
Send us your questions to amr-info at
791
00:32:41,290 --> 00:32:42,850
wealthenhancement.com.
792
00:32:43,270 --> 00:32:44,970
You're listening to Something More with Chris Boyd
793
00:32:44,970 --> 00:32:45,810
Financial Talk Show.
794
00:32:45,950 --> 00:32:48,430
Wealth Enhancement Advisory Services and Jay Christopher Boyd
795
00:32:48,430 --> 00:32:50,750
provide investment advice on an individual basis to
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00:32:50,750 --> 00:32:51,290
clients only.
797
00:32:51,450 --> 00:32:53,430
Proper advice depends on a complete analysis of
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00:32:53,430 --> 00:32:54,630
all facts and circumstances.
799
00:32:54,870 --> 00:32:56,710
The information given on this program is general
800
00:32:56,710 --> 00:32:58,750
financial comments and cannot be relied upon as
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00:32:58,750 --> 00:33:00,310
pertaining to your specific situation.
802
00:33:00,530 --> 00:33:02,510
Wealth Enhancement Group cannot guarantee that using the
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00:33:02,510 --> 00:33:04,510
information from this show will generate profits or
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00:33:04,510 --> 00:33:05,610
ensure freedom from loss.
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Listeners should consult their own financial advisors or
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00:33:07,990 --> 00:33:10,090
conduct their own due diligence before making any
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00:33:10,090 --> 00:33:10,870
financial decisions.