April 28, 2025

Mr. Market is both charming and bipolar

Mr. Market is both charming and bipolar

Mr. Market is both charming and bipolar – With all the recent volatility in the stock market, Jeff Perry and Russ Ball discuss a recent article published in BottomLine magazine which highlights the investing lessons from Benjamim Graham, who...

Mr. Market is both charming and bipolar – With all the recent volatility in the stock
market, Jeff Perry and Russ Ball discuss a recent article published in BottomLine
magazine which highlights the investing lessons from Benjamim Graham, who authored
“The Intelligent Investor” in 1949. Jeff & Russ outline the lessons from Mr. Graham
who describes “Mr. Market” as a bipolar fellow, very charming but suffering from
incurable emotional problems. Some days, he shows up feeling euphoric and will sell to
you only at unreasonably high prices. Other times, he is panicked for no obvious reason
and desperate to sell at any price. Listen in to the lively and fun conversation.
For more information or to reach TEAM AMR, click the following link:
https://www.wealthenhancement.com/s/advisor-teams/amr

 

1
00:00:00,390 --> 00:00:02,930
Welcome to Something More with Chris Boyd.

2
00:00:03,290 --> 00:00:06,230
Chris Boyd is a Certified Financial Planner Practitioner

3
00:00:06,230 --> 00:00:08,850
and Senior Vice President and Financial Advisor at

4
00:00:08,850 --> 00:00:11,150
Wealth Enhancement Group, one of the nation's largest

5
00:00:11,150 --> 00:00:12,750
registered investment advisors.

6
00:00:13,250 --> 00:00:15,190
We call it Something More because we'd like

7
00:00:15,190 --> 00:00:17,310
to talk not only about those important dollar

8
00:00:17,310 --> 00:00:19,490
and cents issues, but also the quality of

9
00:00:19,490 --> 00:00:21,930
life issues that make the money matters matter.

10
00:00:22,450 --> 00:00:25,690
Here he is, your fulfillment facilitator, your partner

11
00:00:25,690 --> 00:00:28,810
in prosperity, advising clients on Cape Cod and

12
00:00:28,810 --> 00:00:29,910
across the country.

13
00:00:30,230 --> 00:00:32,690
Here's your host, Jay Christopher Boyd.

14
00:00:35,400 --> 00:00:37,820
Well, hello, and welcome to another edition of

15
00:00:37,820 --> 00:00:39,320
Something More with Chris Boyd.

16
00:00:39,380 --> 00:00:42,240
Chris Boyd is off this week, so you

17
00:00:42,240 --> 00:00:45,420
have myself, Jeff Perry, and Russ Ball as

18
00:00:45,420 --> 00:00:47,360
your host for this week's episode of Something

19
00:00:47,360 --> 00:00:47,620
More.

20
00:00:48,220 --> 00:00:49,880
Russ, thanks for making the time to join

21
00:00:49,880 --> 00:00:50,100
me.

22
00:00:50,740 --> 00:00:51,400
Yeah, of course.

23
00:00:51,800 --> 00:00:52,640
Happy to be with you, Jeff.

24
00:00:53,600 --> 00:00:56,320
We were joking, as we do frequently.

25
00:00:56,780 --> 00:01:00,180
We were joking as we started the recording

26
00:01:00,180 --> 00:01:01,940
of I wonder how many people are going

27
00:01:01,940 --> 00:01:04,700
to see the headline of the podcast and

28
00:01:04,700 --> 00:01:06,160
click it to see what it is.

29
00:01:06,760 --> 00:01:08,580
If you're just listening and you didn't see

30
00:01:08,580 --> 00:01:09,960
the headline because you just listened to all

31
00:01:09,960 --> 00:01:12,060
the shows and subscribed, then we appreciate you

32
00:01:12,060 --> 00:01:13,700
subscribing and listening all the time.

33
00:01:14,940 --> 00:01:19,140
Mr. Market, he's both charming and bipolar.

34
00:01:21,000 --> 00:01:24,560
I think it's the perfect time for to

35
00:01:24,560 --> 00:01:28,440
go back and to do some thoughts about

36
00:01:28,440 --> 00:01:32,140
the market, certainly, and to review a book

37
00:01:32,140 --> 00:01:33,980
that has been reviewed time and time again,

38
00:01:34,100 --> 00:01:35,420
The Intelligent Investor.

39
00:01:35,780 --> 00:01:38,440
It's a famous book by Benjamin Graham, and

40
00:01:38,440 --> 00:01:40,800
what got it on my radar is I

41
00:01:40,800 --> 00:01:43,140
was reading Bottom Line magazine, which is a

42
00:01:43,140 --> 00:01:46,220
magazine that I enjoy, and there was an

43
00:01:46,220 --> 00:01:48,360
article about Warren Buffett.

44
00:01:48,460 --> 00:01:51,320
We all like to learn about the Oracle

45
00:01:51,320 --> 00:01:54,000
of Omaha and how he makes his decisions.

46
00:01:54,300 --> 00:01:57,180
For those listeners who might have heard his

47
00:01:57,180 --> 00:01:58,780
name and don't know who he is, he's

48
00:01:58,780 --> 00:02:00,920
the CEO of Berkshire Hathaway, and he's a

49
00:02:00,920 --> 00:02:01,940
legendary investor.

50
00:02:03,320 --> 00:02:07,060
Lots of people in the financial services business

51
00:02:07,060 --> 00:02:11,860
and individual investors really follow him, and he's

52
00:02:11,860 --> 00:02:14,720
proven to be right time and time again.

53
00:02:15,660 --> 00:02:19,800
When asked who he learned everything from, who

54
00:02:19,800 --> 00:02:22,440
was his mentor, where did he get his

55
00:02:22,440 --> 00:02:25,640
foundation for his investment principles, I guess he

56
00:02:25,640 --> 00:02:28,480
always says the same thing, that he got

57
00:02:28,480 --> 00:02:30,480
them from Benjamin Graham and the book, The

58
00:02:30,480 --> 00:02:31,620
Intelligent Investor.

59
00:02:32,740 --> 00:02:32,960
Right.

60
00:02:33,300 --> 00:02:37,520
He actually studied under Benjamin Graham, so he's

61
00:02:37,520 --> 00:02:39,560
definitely a mentor of Warren Buffett.

62
00:02:39,560 --> 00:02:42,520
When some market volatility hits, it's always good

63
00:02:42,520 --> 00:02:44,980
to go back and see what the people

64
00:02:44,980 --> 00:02:46,880
who've been through it all have to say,

65
00:02:47,180 --> 00:02:49,940
and going back to their sage words of

66
00:02:49,940 --> 00:02:50,220
wisdom.

67
00:02:52,800 --> 00:02:54,980
Most people, when they have a career in

68
00:02:54,980 --> 00:03:00,160
a certain field, usually can point to something

69
00:03:00,160 --> 00:03:02,620
that a professor certainly is relevant, and that

70
00:03:02,620 --> 00:03:05,780
happens frequently, or a boss early in your

71
00:03:05,780 --> 00:03:08,820
career, a supervisor, or sometimes it's a book,

72
00:03:09,340 --> 00:03:11,500
or something that a class that you took.

73
00:03:12,020 --> 00:03:14,260
One of the first books that I read

74
00:03:14,260 --> 00:03:17,200
that had a meaningful impact on me was

75
00:03:17,200 --> 00:03:20,120
Peter Lynch's book, one up on Wall Street,

76
00:03:21,080 --> 00:03:24,060
the Main Street kind of logic, like keep

77
00:03:24,060 --> 00:03:27,800
it simple, invest in what you know, don't

78
00:03:27,800 --> 00:03:28,820
be too aggressive.

79
00:03:30,200 --> 00:03:33,500
I still follow the lessons of Peter Lynch,

80
00:03:33,760 --> 00:03:35,540
and certainly Warren Buffett.

81
00:03:36,320 --> 00:03:38,160
Back to, I went on a small tangent.

82
00:03:38,480 --> 00:03:40,720
Have you read a book or had an

83
00:03:40,720 --> 00:03:45,840
impact that has seemingly stuck with you yet?

84
00:03:45,920 --> 00:03:47,880
I know you're relatively new in your career,

85
00:03:48,040 --> 00:03:50,000
but have something jumped out to you?

86
00:03:51,000 --> 00:03:53,000
I have actually read that book by Peter

87
00:03:53,000 --> 00:03:53,280
Lynch.

88
00:03:53,420 --> 00:03:55,240
I thought that was probably the first investing

89
00:03:55,240 --> 00:03:56,020
book that I read.

90
00:03:56,360 --> 00:03:57,780
It was a little bit over my head,

91
00:03:57,860 --> 00:03:59,900
I would say, some parts of it, but

92
00:03:59,900 --> 00:04:03,260
the core fundamentals definitely resonated.

93
00:04:03,940 --> 00:04:06,200
A little bit more recently, within the last

94
00:04:06,200 --> 00:04:08,480
few years, I read a random walk down

95
00:04:08,480 --> 00:04:11,980
Wall Street by, I think, Burton Malkiel, and

96
00:04:11,980 --> 00:04:14,440
he talks about all the different bubbles that

97
00:04:14,440 --> 00:04:15,160
have occurred over time.

98
00:04:15,300 --> 00:04:16,300
It kind of goes through a little bit

99
00:04:16,300 --> 00:04:17,880
of a history of the market, and then

100
00:04:17,880 --> 00:04:20,740
gets a little bit more granular on the

101
00:04:20,740 --> 00:04:26,380
past allocation, and different trends that have guided

102
00:04:26,380 --> 00:04:26,820
markets.

103
00:04:26,940 --> 00:04:29,940
It's been updated over and over the years,

104
00:04:30,080 --> 00:04:32,000
but I found that to be a really

105
00:04:32,000 --> 00:04:34,700
useful resource, and definitely frames the way I

106
00:04:34,700 --> 00:04:37,740
think about investing now in this role.

107
00:04:38,100 --> 00:04:39,840
Well, I think it's important that you go

108
00:04:39,840 --> 00:04:42,860
back, and not you specifically, but all of

109
00:04:42,860 --> 00:04:44,380
us, and learn the lessons that have been

110
00:04:44,380 --> 00:04:47,660
learned from history, because in these times of

111
00:04:47,660 --> 00:04:50,340
volatile markets, and we're certainly in a time

112
00:04:50,340 --> 00:04:53,300
of extreme volatility, if you have that base

113
00:04:53,300 --> 00:04:55,720
of knowledge, if you have studied under people

114
00:04:55,720 --> 00:05:00,980
who espouse certain principles, like Benjamin Graham, Warren

115
00:05:00,980 --> 00:05:03,740
Buffett, Peter Lynch, and we could add others,

116
00:05:03,880 --> 00:05:07,120
we're missing some, of course, but you know

117
00:05:07,120 --> 00:05:10,960
not to make certain mistakes that feel right

118
00:05:10,960 --> 00:05:15,120
at the moment, or out of good times

119
00:05:15,120 --> 00:05:17,000
or bad times, and that's why the headline

120
00:05:17,000 --> 00:05:20,480
of this podcast is Mr. Market, so Mr.

121
00:05:20,580 --> 00:05:24,820
Market is the stock market, primarily, both charming,

122
00:05:25,640 --> 00:05:29,500
because the Mr. Market can be charming, and

123
00:05:29,500 --> 00:05:33,740
bipolar, and lately, I guess since President Trump

124
00:05:33,740 --> 00:05:37,580
announced his tariff plan, I don't know if

125
00:05:37,580 --> 00:05:41,140
it's a plan, but his tariffs feel like

126
00:05:41,140 --> 00:05:44,180
a plan, I hope it's a plan, since

127
00:05:44,180 --> 00:05:47,900
his tariff policy, the market has been acting

128
00:05:47,900 --> 00:05:50,840
in a, not to misuse the word, I

129
00:05:50,840 --> 00:05:52,900
know it's a mental disease for some people,

130
00:05:53,000 --> 00:05:56,020
but in a very volatile way, right, up

131
00:05:56,020 --> 00:05:59,240
and down, seemingly for no reason, and that's

132
00:05:59,240 --> 00:06:00,960
part of what was in this article, so

133
00:06:00,960 --> 00:06:02,820
I thought as we're co-hosting today, it

134
00:06:02,820 --> 00:06:04,840
would be fun to go through the principles

135
00:06:04,840 --> 00:06:09,360
of Benjamin Graham, and now Warren Buffett, and

136
00:06:09,360 --> 00:06:11,780
many of us, and kind of try to

137
00:06:11,780 --> 00:06:17,260
relate them to where we are, because it's,

138
00:06:17,380 --> 00:06:20,640
you know, it's right on point, right, it's

139
00:06:20,640 --> 00:06:21,200
right on point.

140
00:06:22,700 --> 00:06:25,560
Definitely, and you know, reading this article, this

141
00:06:25,560 --> 00:06:27,140
was definitely the first time I've heard of

142
00:06:27,140 --> 00:06:30,480
this idea of Mr. Market, kind of personifying

143
00:06:30,480 --> 00:06:33,960
the market, I think that helps, like to

144
00:06:33,960 --> 00:06:36,920
make it a little bit more relatable, where

145
00:06:36,920 --> 00:06:39,860
you're watching the market day after day, and

146
00:06:39,860 --> 00:06:42,260
it seems to swing on, you know, a

147
00:06:42,260 --> 00:06:45,460
tweet here, a tweet there, there's no, seemingly

148
00:06:45,460 --> 00:06:46,860
no rival reason some days.

149
00:06:47,180 --> 00:06:50,720
More amazing than in my memory, like that

150
00:06:50,720 --> 00:06:54,300
one tweet, or one suggestion, or one even

151
00:06:54,300 --> 00:06:58,740
comment at walking down the hallway, can, yeah,

152
00:06:58,900 --> 00:07:02,880
dramatically move, dramatically move the market, and you

153
00:07:02,880 --> 00:07:06,520
know, this is like an idea of making

154
00:07:06,520 --> 00:07:09,340
Mr. Market a character that you consider.

155
00:07:10,540 --> 00:07:12,620
Yeah, maybe you want to dive into some

156
00:07:12,620 --> 00:07:13,860
of your thoughts on that, yeah.

157
00:07:14,340 --> 00:07:18,420
After, let me describe it, because it has

158
00:07:18,420 --> 00:07:21,800
four sections in this article that's going off

159
00:07:21,800 --> 00:07:23,880
of Intelligent Investor by Benjamin Graham.

160
00:07:24,020 --> 00:07:27,260
The first one is handling stock market volatility,

161
00:07:27,640 --> 00:07:29,560
and that's where we're introduced to Mr. Market.

162
00:07:29,800 --> 00:07:33,880
So Benjamin Graham describes Mr. Market as a

163
00:07:33,880 --> 00:07:38,280
bipolar fellow, very charming, but suffering from incurable

164
00:07:38,280 --> 00:07:39,460
emotional problems.

165
00:07:39,740 --> 00:07:42,860
Some days he shows up feeling euphoric, and

166
00:07:42,860 --> 00:07:45,420
will sell to you only at a reasonably

167
00:07:45,420 --> 00:07:46,180
high price.

168
00:07:46,800 --> 00:07:49,970
Other times he's no obvious reason, he's desperate

169
00:07:49,970 --> 00:07:51,830
to sell at any price.

170
00:07:52,370 --> 00:07:56,510
Mr. Market constantly moves between degrees of unsustainable

171
00:07:56,510 --> 00:08:01,970
optimism and unjustified pessimism, and I think that's

172
00:08:01,970 --> 00:08:06,290
how many people feel lately, you know.

173
00:08:06,730 --> 00:08:08,290
The market's down.

174
00:08:08,490 --> 00:08:11,190
So how many times, you know, do you

175
00:08:11,190 --> 00:08:13,530
hear a client when the market is down,

176
00:08:13,750 --> 00:08:15,470
or a friend, or you know, just a

177
00:08:15,470 --> 00:08:18,330
neighbor or whatever, the market's down, and then

178
00:08:18,330 --> 00:08:20,430
the next statement is something like, I gotta

179
00:08:20,430 --> 00:08:21,010
get out.

180
00:08:22,570 --> 00:08:24,490
I can't stand this, I gotta get out.

181
00:08:24,690 --> 00:08:27,910
Or when the market was at record highs,

182
00:08:28,250 --> 00:08:31,990
people would say, the market's doing so good,

183
00:08:32,030 --> 00:08:32,610
have you seen it?

184
00:08:32,669 --> 00:08:33,549
I gotta get in.

185
00:08:34,070 --> 00:08:35,289
I gotta buy more.

186
00:08:35,970 --> 00:08:39,610
And I think that's what Mr. Graham's suggesting,

187
00:08:39,850 --> 00:08:43,310
is that he's making kind of some wrong

188
00:08:43,310 --> 00:08:44,810
decisions at the wrong time.

189
00:08:44,950 --> 00:08:47,010
I mean, don't we want to buy low

190
00:08:47,010 --> 00:08:49,090
and sell high?

191
00:08:49,190 --> 00:08:53,090
I mean, that's not oversimplify it, but.

192
00:08:53,930 --> 00:08:56,330
Yeah, and I think a lot of investors

193
00:08:56,330 --> 00:08:59,210
and just people that have money in the

194
00:08:59,210 --> 00:09:03,170
market think, well, let's get out when things

195
00:09:03,170 --> 00:09:04,770
are starting to go down, let's get back

196
00:09:04,770 --> 00:09:05,930
in when things are starting to go up.

197
00:09:06,070 --> 00:09:09,490
If it were only that easy, we all

198
00:09:09,490 --> 00:09:10,290
wouldn't lose any money.

199
00:09:11,430 --> 00:09:12,250
Yeah, go ahead.

200
00:09:12,710 --> 00:09:15,650
Yeah, I think this idea, one piece I

201
00:09:15,650 --> 00:09:18,130
highlighted here is just the idea that there's

202
00:09:18,130 --> 00:09:21,870
nothing you can do to reason with Mr.

203
00:09:21,930 --> 00:09:25,250
Market or, you know, there's just, there's going

204
00:09:25,250 --> 00:09:26,570
to be those mood swings, it's going to

205
00:09:26,570 --> 00:09:27,450
happen day to day.

206
00:09:27,830 --> 00:09:30,410
And maybe the more you focus on, I

207
00:09:30,410 --> 00:09:32,210
don't know if this was specifically noted, but

208
00:09:32,210 --> 00:09:34,370
the more you focus on it, the more

209
00:09:34,370 --> 00:09:37,970
you're prone to have that way of thinking

210
00:09:37,970 --> 00:09:40,130
sort of temperamental and all over the place

211
00:09:40,130 --> 00:09:41,290
with the market.

212
00:09:42,230 --> 00:09:44,150
Better to think of it, all right, that's

213
00:09:44,150 --> 00:09:45,510
what Mr. Market's going to do.

214
00:09:45,890 --> 00:09:47,490
And I'm going to do my own thing.

215
00:09:48,370 --> 00:09:49,390
Yeah, excellent point.

216
00:09:49,770 --> 00:09:51,830
And I think you're also right about the

217
00:09:51,830 --> 00:09:52,590
focusing of it.

218
00:09:52,690 --> 00:09:56,130
I think people who, there's a fine line

219
00:09:56,130 --> 00:10:04,390
between being informed and being just so emotionally

220
00:10:04,390 --> 00:10:05,850
attached to what's going on.

221
00:10:05,910 --> 00:10:08,950
And this can be, geez, in the days

222
00:10:08,950 --> 00:10:11,790
of 24-hour breaking news, and you know,

223
00:10:11,830 --> 00:10:13,570
all the cable channels who are rooting for

224
00:10:13,570 --> 00:10:16,130
one team or another, and usually we watch

225
00:10:16,130 --> 00:10:19,330
what our team is, you know, so you

226
00:10:19,330 --> 00:10:22,830
can get, especially if you don't have a

227
00:10:22,830 --> 00:10:25,950
you know, distractions, if you don't have a

228
00:10:25,950 --> 00:10:28,270
job that you go to and leave the

229
00:10:28,270 --> 00:10:30,770
TV or the computer, you know, if you're

230
00:10:30,770 --> 00:10:33,370
focused in on these either market moves or

231
00:10:33,370 --> 00:10:35,710
news cycles, you can really get so absorbed

232
00:10:35,710 --> 00:10:37,830
into it that it can change your, certainly

233
00:10:37,830 --> 00:10:40,150
change your emotions, you can worry, you can

234
00:10:40,150 --> 00:10:43,490
be overly excited like Mr. Market sometime, and

235
00:10:43,490 --> 00:10:45,210
you can make the wrong decisions, or you

236
00:10:45,210 --> 00:10:47,110
can worry about things that you have no

237
00:10:47,110 --> 00:10:47,850
control about.

238
00:10:48,690 --> 00:10:51,270
And I think that's, and taking into account

239
00:10:51,270 --> 00:10:55,810
that he wrote this book in 1949, he's

240
00:10:55,810 --> 00:10:58,590
not writing it in the, I'm describing the

241
00:10:58,590 --> 00:11:00,250
current setting where we have all this stuff

242
00:11:00,250 --> 00:11:01,810
coming at us, and we can get totally

243
00:11:01,810 --> 00:11:02,570
absorbed by it.

244
00:11:03,070 --> 00:11:06,570
He's writing this, you know, 76 years ago.

245
00:11:07,490 --> 00:11:09,030
And that's, it's very insightful.

246
00:11:09,570 --> 00:11:12,170
And it's still, it's probably more true today

247
00:11:12,170 --> 00:11:14,670
than it was in 1949.

248
00:11:14,670 --> 00:11:16,410
So your point is well taken.

249
00:11:16,410 --> 00:11:21,990
Don't get into the emotional decisions of the

250
00:11:21,990 --> 00:11:25,130
volatility, because it's probably going to be wrong.

251
00:11:25,330 --> 00:11:27,370
One another thing, you were listing some things

252
00:11:27,370 --> 00:11:29,290
that you've heard people say, and they're all

253
00:11:29,290 --> 00:11:32,070
correct is, I'm going to get out now.

254
00:11:32,290 --> 00:11:34,070
And I'm going to get in back in

255
00:11:34,070 --> 00:11:34,990
when things settle.

256
00:11:35,970 --> 00:11:36,070
Yeah.

257
00:11:37,190 --> 00:11:40,290
I'm, you know, I've been in the market

258
00:11:40,290 --> 00:11:44,610
for 35 years, say, things haven't settled.

259
00:11:44,610 --> 00:11:48,790
It can be, you know, the economic cycle,

260
00:11:49,030 --> 00:11:51,130
boom or bust, it can be the political

261
00:11:51,130 --> 00:11:57,270
cycle, it can be wars or things in

262
00:11:57,270 --> 00:11:59,170
the news that you concern, it can be

263
00:11:59,170 --> 00:12:01,350
trade, it can be foreign relations, it can

264
00:12:01,350 --> 00:12:05,250
be whatever it might be, seasonal adjusted stuff,

265
00:12:06,130 --> 00:12:13,190
inflation, stagflation, recession, whatever it is, it's never

266
00:12:13,190 --> 00:12:13,630
settled.

267
00:12:14,070 --> 00:12:16,130
There's no bell that rings and says, it's

268
00:12:16,130 --> 00:12:17,590
now a good time to get in.

269
00:12:18,070 --> 00:12:18,550
Right?

270
00:12:19,070 --> 00:12:19,550
Exactly.

271
00:12:19,850 --> 00:12:20,070
Yeah.

272
00:12:20,510 --> 00:12:23,390
So don't be affected by the day to

273
00:12:23,390 --> 00:12:23,890
day volatility.

274
00:12:24,790 --> 00:12:26,610
If you're hanging out with Mr. Market, and

275
00:12:26,610 --> 00:12:29,510
he's going off on one of his euphoric

276
00:12:29,510 --> 00:12:31,850
happiness, don't think that it's time to get

277
00:12:31,850 --> 00:12:32,110
in.

278
00:12:32,610 --> 00:12:34,730
And if he's having a bad pessimistic day,

279
00:12:34,730 --> 00:12:39,470
and you're a long term investor, it's not

280
00:12:39,470 --> 00:12:40,690
time to get out probably.

281
00:12:41,650 --> 00:12:41,790
Right.

282
00:12:42,230 --> 00:12:42,510
Right.

283
00:12:42,850 --> 00:12:45,490
One more part about volatility, I'm going to

284
00:12:45,490 --> 00:12:49,350
ask you about is dollar cost averaging, right?

285
00:12:49,490 --> 00:12:52,690
So take it from there, because I think

286
00:12:52,690 --> 00:12:56,130
a lot of people don't understand or don't

287
00:12:56,130 --> 00:12:57,730
appreciate the concept of it.

288
00:12:57,870 --> 00:13:00,070
And why, especially the younger you are, but

289
00:13:00,070 --> 00:13:03,190
certainly any age, why it's so valuable and

290
00:13:03,190 --> 00:13:04,890
why people should participate in it.

291
00:13:05,670 --> 00:13:09,330
Yeah, well, personally, in my investing life, I

292
00:13:09,330 --> 00:13:11,790
definitely preferred dollar cost averaging and cost support.

293
00:13:12,390 --> 00:13:14,770
Now there's mixed research that says, you know,

294
00:13:14,850 --> 00:13:16,630
it might be better to just put all

295
00:13:16,630 --> 00:13:17,370
your money in at once.

296
00:13:17,490 --> 00:13:19,690
And just for context, dollar cost averaging would

297
00:13:19,690 --> 00:13:22,510
be, rather than investing all in one go,

298
00:13:22,610 --> 00:13:24,450
let's say you had $10,000 to invest,

299
00:13:24,670 --> 00:13:26,850
you can decide to invest it tomorrow, or

300
00:13:26,850 --> 00:13:28,050
you can spread it out over time.

301
00:13:28,130 --> 00:13:30,510
So if the market goes up, you're participating

302
00:13:30,510 --> 00:13:31,130
in that growth.

303
00:13:31,230 --> 00:13:33,110
If it goes down, you're buying at lower

304
00:13:33,110 --> 00:13:36,710
prices and you just spread out your $10

305
00:13:36,710 --> 00:13:40,310
,000, let's say, over a couple of months,

306
00:13:40,490 --> 00:13:42,470
three months, four months, whatever it is, any

307
00:13:42,470 --> 00:13:44,150
period of time that you like, that would

308
00:13:44,150 --> 00:13:45,050
be dollar cost averaging.

309
00:13:45,470 --> 00:13:48,830
And for me, psychologically, it just is something

310
00:13:48,830 --> 00:13:50,390
that really resonates.

311
00:13:50,570 --> 00:13:53,730
It's like, if I continue to contribute, and

312
00:13:53,730 --> 00:13:55,970
that's usually what you're doing with a 401k

313
00:13:55,970 --> 00:13:57,230
or your work plan.

314
00:13:58,070 --> 00:14:01,890
If you continue to contribute, you're always going

315
00:14:01,890 --> 00:14:03,230
to be feeling like, well, you know, I

316
00:14:03,230 --> 00:14:04,510
had this at a loss, but at least

317
00:14:04,510 --> 00:14:05,810
I'm still investing now.

318
00:14:05,950 --> 00:14:07,710
So it's going to grow from here.

319
00:14:09,010 --> 00:14:10,810
So I think a lot of, as I

320
00:14:10,810 --> 00:14:12,490
said, the research is a little mixed as

321
00:14:12,490 --> 00:14:15,570
far as, is it more advantageous, is it

322
00:14:15,570 --> 00:14:18,530
optimal to dollar cost average or to invest

323
00:14:18,530 --> 00:14:19,130
all at once?

324
00:14:19,130 --> 00:14:21,670
Typically, the longer you're invested, the better.

325
00:14:22,810 --> 00:14:26,970
But psychologically, it's definitely a useful tool just

326
00:14:26,970 --> 00:14:27,750
to get over that hurdle.

327
00:14:27,850 --> 00:14:29,350
If you don't feel like you're ready to

328
00:14:29,350 --> 00:14:32,270
commit, with all the volatility we've seen, not

329
00:14:32,270 --> 00:14:33,310
a lot of people are thinking, oh yeah,

330
00:14:33,350 --> 00:14:34,630
I'm just going to invest everything I have

331
00:14:34,630 --> 00:14:35,930
right now that's been sitting on the sidelines.

332
00:14:36,090 --> 00:14:37,030
Like now's the perfect time.

333
00:14:37,470 --> 00:14:38,990
You just don't know what the market's going

334
00:14:38,990 --> 00:14:39,550
to do tomorrow.

335
00:14:39,810 --> 00:14:40,790
And it can be intimidating.

336
00:14:41,570 --> 00:14:43,570
Some people don't care about that stuff, but

337
00:14:43,570 --> 00:14:44,150
other people do.

338
00:14:44,370 --> 00:14:46,130
Dollar cost averaging is a way around that.

339
00:14:46,890 --> 00:14:47,610
Very good.

340
00:14:47,750 --> 00:14:49,150
I share that sentiment.

341
00:14:50,470 --> 00:14:50,910
Exactly.

342
00:14:51,570 --> 00:14:54,730
And so, you know, with the volatility, don't

343
00:14:54,730 --> 00:14:57,530
make rash decisions, don't make emotional decisions.

344
00:14:58,370 --> 00:15:00,470
And if you're not sure, sometimes the best

345
00:15:00,470 --> 00:15:01,290
thing to do is nothing.

346
00:15:02,410 --> 00:15:03,790
And it's always a good idea when you're

347
00:15:03,790 --> 00:15:06,330
feeling uncertain is to call your investment advisor

348
00:15:06,330 --> 00:15:08,230
and talk it out.

349
00:15:08,350 --> 00:15:10,190
Talk about if you're in the risk allocation,

350
00:15:10,650 --> 00:15:13,690
the risk profile and asset allocation.

351
00:15:14,870 --> 00:15:17,070
And, you know, I think some of the

352
00:15:17,070 --> 00:15:20,130
times the best service that we as fiduciaries,

353
00:15:20,810 --> 00:15:23,170
meaning people who put our clients' best interest

354
00:15:23,170 --> 00:15:26,990
first, both legally and ethically, I think sometimes

355
00:15:26,990 --> 00:15:29,250
we give them, our clients, the most value

356
00:15:29,250 --> 00:15:32,390
when they have these feelings, like Mr. Market,

357
00:15:32,470 --> 00:15:35,590
when they're feeling emotional about their finances, worried

358
00:15:35,590 --> 00:15:39,510
about them or too euphoric about them and

359
00:15:39,510 --> 00:15:41,610
talking to them about their long-term financial

360
00:15:41,610 --> 00:15:41,970
plan.

361
00:15:42,090 --> 00:15:43,070
I know we've been doing a lot of

362
00:15:43,070 --> 00:15:45,370
that with clients, reviewing their financial plan and

363
00:15:45,370 --> 00:15:49,310
saying, okay, what's changed since we reviewed it

364
00:15:49,310 --> 00:15:49,930
last time?

365
00:15:50,810 --> 00:15:53,550
Often very little because these are long-term

366
00:15:53,550 --> 00:15:54,510
financial plans.

367
00:15:55,350 --> 00:15:58,090
And it gives most clients the feeling of

368
00:15:58,830 --> 00:15:59,270
stability.

369
00:16:00,110 --> 00:16:01,910
And, you know, once again, they can see

370
00:16:01,910 --> 00:16:04,090
what their long-term plan is, that their

371
00:16:04,090 --> 00:16:06,950
cashflow is there, and that we expect as

372
00:16:06,950 --> 00:16:11,090
part of our projections, corrections in the market,

373
00:16:11,330 --> 00:16:13,270
and we expect bear markets from time to

374
00:16:13,270 --> 00:16:13,530
time.

375
00:16:13,690 --> 00:16:17,290
And that's all factored into our clients' projections.

376
00:16:18,350 --> 00:16:18,530
Yeah.

377
00:16:18,670 --> 00:16:20,350
And we've been doing a lot of stress

378
00:16:20,350 --> 00:16:23,190
testing as well, at least over here, Jeff,

379
00:16:23,250 --> 00:16:26,090
I'm sure you have too, just looking at

380
00:16:26,090 --> 00:16:28,290
the what-if scenarios, what if the market

381
00:16:28,290 --> 00:16:30,870
goes down, what if taxes are higher, what

382
00:16:30,870 --> 00:16:34,950
if these tariffs go into effect, what is

383
00:16:34,950 --> 00:16:35,550
that going to do?

384
00:16:36,090 --> 00:16:38,490
And a lot of clients come in understandably

385
00:16:38,490 --> 00:16:40,750
worried and saying, you know, this is different,

386
00:16:40,850 --> 00:16:41,670
this time it's different.

387
00:16:42,430 --> 00:16:44,890
And what I keep hearing and reading again

388
00:16:44,890 --> 00:16:46,350
and again, and as you can see with

389
00:16:46,350 --> 00:16:49,870
this article we're referencing, it's from the book

390
00:16:49,870 --> 00:16:52,550
that was written in the mid-20th century,

391
00:16:53,910 --> 00:16:56,710
that yes, it might feel different, but this

392
00:16:56,710 --> 00:16:58,770
kind of thing happens time and time again.

393
00:16:59,110 --> 00:17:02,570
And the market has consistently proven to be

394
00:17:02,570 --> 00:17:03,890
the best hedge against inflation.

395
00:17:05,390 --> 00:17:07,270
So there are certain assumptions that we can

396
00:17:07,270 --> 00:17:08,310
make based on history.

397
00:17:08,930 --> 00:17:10,849
There are things that are going to unsettle

398
00:17:10,849 --> 00:17:11,609
that in the short term.

399
00:17:11,650 --> 00:17:13,530
And I think that's Mr. Market, you know,

400
00:17:13,750 --> 00:17:15,930
I think that's the idea of this piece

401
00:17:15,930 --> 00:17:16,190
here.

402
00:17:16,630 --> 00:17:18,630
And one other piece that I highlighted in

403
00:17:18,630 --> 00:17:22,569
the section we're discussing is, it says, view

404
00:17:22,569 --> 00:17:25,349
volatility not as a debilitating handicap, but as

405
00:17:25,349 --> 00:17:28,130
opportunity to sell to the optimist and buy

406
00:17:28,130 --> 00:17:28,890
from the pessimist.

407
00:17:29,070 --> 00:17:31,470
So I thought that was pretty useful and

408
00:17:31,470 --> 00:17:33,450
kind of being that contrarian mindset and you

409
00:17:33,450 --> 00:17:34,630
kind of have to take a step back

410
00:17:34,630 --> 00:17:37,410
and not go along with the flow just

411
00:17:37,410 --> 00:17:40,590
because everyone's nervous and panicking and freaking out.

412
00:17:41,270 --> 00:17:43,250
That's a great lead-in to number two

413
00:17:43,250 --> 00:17:44,810
is deal with investment at risk.

414
00:17:46,890 --> 00:17:49,370
And, you know, the concept of putting a

415
00:17:49,370 --> 00:17:52,470
fair value or a good value on a

416
00:17:52,470 --> 00:17:54,710
particular stock or a sector or whatever you're

417
00:17:54,710 --> 00:17:56,610
investing in, most of the sections talk about

418
00:17:56,610 --> 00:17:57,590
individual stocks.

419
00:17:57,790 --> 00:17:59,870
They talk about Warren Buffett's, you know, the

420
00:17:59,870 --> 00:18:02,490
cigar butt reference and people think of a

421
00:18:02,490 --> 00:18:04,390
cigar butt as something that's been thrown away

422
00:18:04,390 --> 00:18:05,050
by someone.

423
00:18:05,890 --> 00:18:11,390
And Buffett has been famous for finding companies

424
00:18:11,390 --> 00:18:13,650
that are cigar butts, if you will, meaning

425
00:18:13,650 --> 00:18:17,150
they're not worthless, but they're not appreciated appropriately,

426
00:18:17,330 --> 00:18:17,550
right?

427
00:18:18,030 --> 00:18:21,630
And so when I was reading this, certainly

428
00:18:21,630 --> 00:18:23,390
all true, but it brought me back to

429
00:18:23,390 --> 00:18:26,050
Peter Lynch and how things I learned from

430
00:18:26,050 --> 00:18:29,470
his lessons and what he did at Fidelity

431
00:18:29,470 --> 00:18:33,570
is to set evaluations of a company and

432
00:18:33,570 --> 00:18:35,530
have a reason that you're buying it, right?

433
00:18:35,590 --> 00:18:37,770
Whether that's a price target, because you think

434
00:18:37,770 --> 00:18:39,110
it's a cigar butt and it's going to

435
00:18:39,110 --> 00:18:41,870
be appreciated in the near future, or if

436
00:18:41,870 --> 00:18:44,250
you think it's potentially going to be sold

437
00:18:44,250 --> 00:18:46,030
and, you know, get a premium for that.

438
00:18:46,590 --> 00:18:48,330
But to have a reason why you buy

439
00:18:48,330 --> 00:18:51,870
it and to have a target, because it's,

440
00:18:51,970 --> 00:18:54,470
I believe, the hardest thing to do when

441
00:18:54,470 --> 00:18:56,370
you buy an individual stock, and it could

442
00:18:56,370 --> 00:18:57,810
be an investment, you know, it could be

443
00:18:57,810 --> 00:18:59,530
a mutual fund, but it's harder with an

444
00:18:59,530 --> 00:19:01,550
individual stock is not when to buy it.

445
00:19:01,950 --> 00:19:05,030
You know, you hear something, you read something,

446
00:19:05,030 --> 00:19:07,970
you do some analysis, your advisor maybe gives

447
00:19:07,970 --> 00:19:09,950
you advice, we think you should buy X,

448
00:19:10,030 --> 00:19:10,530
Y, or Z.

449
00:19:11,370 --> 00:19:13,590
It's when to sell it, right?

450
00:19:14,110 --> 00:19:16,330
Because two things, back to Mr. Market a

451
00:19:16,330 --> 00:19:18,930
little bit, but it's relevant in the category

452
00:19:18,930 --> 00:19:21,230
of having fair value and having good value.

453
00:19:22,730 --> 00:19:26,070
People get emotionally attached to a stock, they

454
00:19:26,070 --> 00:19:27,530
bought it, it did well, and they can

455
00:19:27,530 --> 00:19:29,870
hold on to it far beyond the price

456
00:19:29,870 --> 00:19:33,450
target they set, or it can go the

457
00:19:33,450 --> 00:19:34,790
reason that you bought it in the first

458
00:19:34,790 --> 00:19:35,170
place.

459
00:19:35,690 --> 00:19:37,550
I bought it because I had a healthy

460
00:19:37,550 --> 00:19:40,350
view of this sector, I thought this company

461
00:19:40,350 --> 00:19:43,230
had good products and was not appropriately valued.

462
00:19:43,650 --> 00:19:45,850
So that says that you should sell it

463
00:19:45,850 --> 00:19:49,490
if the market recognizes that value and starts

464
00:19:49,490 --> 00:19:52,030
to give you a premium for it, but

465
00:19:52,030 --> 00:19:54,850
you might own it too long, or something

466
00:19:54,850 --> 00:19:57,230
could change on the negative, you could make

467
00:19:57,230 --> 00:19:59,270
a mistake when you bought it, and it

468
00:19:59,270 --> 00:20:00,990
could go down, and then it's tough to

469
00:20:00,990 --> 00:20:03,590
say I made a mistake, you know, personally,

470
00:20:03,830 --> 00:20:05,150
I made a mistake.

471
00:20:06,450 --> 00:20:09,050
Things have changed, or what I assumed was

472
00:20:09,050 --> 00:20:11,010
true was not, I should sell it and

473
00:20:11,010 --> 00:20:11,730
cut my losses.

474
00:20:13,070 --> 00:20:15,650
And I think dealing with that investment risk

475
00:20:15,650 --> 00:20:18,870
of being, this is the last one, I

476
00:20:18,870 --> 00:20:19,910
don't want to jump to it, but being

477
00:20:19,910 --> 00:20:22,090
disciplined and having a reason why you bought

478
00:20:22,090 --> 00:20:24,010
it, and having a reason why you would

479
00:20:24,010 --> 00:20:27,530
sell something, really makes a lot of sense.

480
00:20:29,850 --> 00:20:32,470
Yeah, I think, you know, just looking at

481
00:20:32,470 --> 00:20:36,130
the companies you're buying, or whatever investments you're

482
00:20:36,130 --> 00:20:39,630
looking at, the idea of entry points kind

483
00:20:39,630 --> 00:20:43,370
of matter as well, and you know, every

484
00:20:43,370 --> 00:20:45,650
stock is going to come with risk, it's

485
00:20:45,650 --> 00:20:46,550
just inevitable.

486
00:20:47,250 --> 00:20:49,930
The stock swings, you know, year to year,

487
00:20:50,230 --> 00:20:51,650
and within the year, and then it ends

488
00:20:51,650 --> 00:20:54,410
up at a high, so individual names especially

489
00:20:54,410 --> 00:20:57,890
are, you know, always going to carry some

490
00:20:57,890 --> 00:21:00,770
risk, but part of that analysis is, you

491
00:21:00,770 --> 00:21:02,590
know, is this a company I like over

492
00:21:02,590 --> 00:21:03,230
the long term?

493
00:21:03,690 --> 00:21:06,170
Is this a company that is trading at

494
00:21:06,170 --> 00:21:08,430
a valuation that I think is reasonable relative

495
00:21:08,430 --> 00:21:09,290
to where it's going to be?

496
00:21:09,330 --> 00:21:12,590
I think definitely on our team, that's what

497
00:21:12,590 --> 00:21:14,630
Brian does in the stock portfolio that he

498
00:21:14,630 --> 00:21:17,010
runs, and he's taking a look at all

499
00:21:17,010 --> 00:21:20,410
the various analytics, and all the things that

500
00:21:20,410 --> 00:21:23,710
he's, you know, trying to do, and determine

501
00:21:23,710 --> 00:21:25,550
those different price points.

502
00:21:26,710 --> 00:21:29,990
So just, yeah, I think having that perspective

503
00:21:29,990 --> 00:21:32,710
definitely changes the way you think as a

504
00:21:32,710 --> 00:21:33,310
long term investor.

505
00:21:33,730 --> 00:21:36,130
Yeah, and don't have, it's not in this

506
00:21:36,130 --> 00:21:39,070
article, but you know, investors, individual investors who

507
00:21:39,070 --> 00:21:42,470
do buy and sell stocks can have some

508
00:21:42,470 --> 00:21:47,070
some problems of being too confident in their

509
00:21:47,070 --> 00:21:48,170
own ability, right?

510
00:21:48,290 --> 00:21:50,730
I mean, you're buying and selling stocks with

511
00:21:50,730 --> 00:21:55,690
organizations against, basically, because you're buying something, selling

512
00:21:55,690 --> 00:22:00,050
or selling something somebody's buying, and they often

513
00:22:00,050 --> 00:22:02,870
have a lot more insight into the market,

514
00:22:03,050 --> 00:22:07,130
insight into certain company, insight into what just

515
00:22:07,130 --> 00:22:09,770
happened, you know, but inside a board room

516
00:22:09,770 --> 00:22:10,910
or with a sector.

517
00:22:11,830 --> 00:22:14,830
So use caution and control your investment risk.

518
00:22:14,950 --> 00:22:16,710
And you can do that with diversification, you

519
00:22:16,710 --> 00:22:18,970
can do that with professional management.

520
00:22:21,510 --> 00:22:23,290
Yeah, I think that's the point there.

521
00:22:23,750 --> 00:22:25,410
The third point is you started to talk

522
00:22:25,410 --> 00:22:27,590
about was maintain a long term perspective.

523
00:22:27,810 --> 00:22:30,970
And that's, you know, the, it's bolded in

524
00:22:30,970 --> 00:22:33,170
the article, stop thinking of a stock prices

525
00:22:33,170 --> 00:22:35,470
as a bet on a flashing ticker symbol

526
00:22:35,470 --> 00:22:38,830
on your computer screen or TV.

527
00:22:39,870 --> 00:22:42,970
The reality is, you're part of a real

528
00:22:42,970 --> 00:22:44,790
business, you own, you own something, right.

529
00:22:44,910 --> 00:22:48,030
So and the other part of that was,

530
00:22:48,310 --> 00:22:49,810
and I like this very much.

531
00:22:49,870 --> 00:22:52,090
It's a quote from Benjamin Graham, remember that

532
00:22:52,090 --> 00:22:53,610
over the short term, the market is a

533
00:22:53,610 --> 00:22:54,350
voting machine.

534
00:22:54,890 --> 00:22:56,790
Like on any one given day, at any

535
00:22:56,790 --> 00:22:58,210
one given moment, who do you want to

536
00:22:58,210 --> 00:22:58,890
be your president?

537
00:22:59,370 --> 00:23:01,390
Who's buying and selling the stock?

538
00:23:02,810 --> 00:23:04,090
That's not in the quote, by the way.

539
00:23:05,010 --> 00:23:05,850
Back to the quote.

540
00:23:06,430 --> 00:23:08,310
But in the long run, it's a weighing

541
00:23:08,310 --> 00:23:08,790
machine.

542
00:23:09,810 --> 00:23:09,910
Right?

543
00:23:09,990 --> 00:23:13,650
So it's more deliberate, it's more measured, it's

544
00:23:13,650 --> 00:23:15,910
looking at everything over periods of time.

545
00:23:16,510 --> 00:23:16,870
Yeah.

546
00:23:17,190 --> 00:23:18,810
And it's not, it's not just looking at

547
00:23:18,810 --> 00:23:21,130
the one day it's up, one day it's

548
00:23:21,130 --> 00:23:23,070
down, it's looking big picture, taking a step

549
00:23:23,070 --> 00:23:23,390
back.

550
00:23:23,730 --> 00:23:25,110
And I really like that what you what

551
00:23:25,110 --> 00:23:25,630
you mentioned.

552
00:23:25,950 --> 00:23:27,110
I thought that was a good point, too.

553
00:23:27,170 --> 00:23:28,150
It's not a bet.

554
00:23:28,230 --> 00:23:31,110
It's not like, yeah, this is a, this

555
00:23:31,110 --> 00:23:31,930
feels like a good bet.

556
00:23:32,010 --> 00:23:33,710
This is like a better than 5050 bet.

557
00:23:33,810 --> 00:23:35,390
It's like, no, if you like the company

558
00:23:35,390 --> 00:23:37,930
you're buying, you like the sector you're buying

559
00:23:37,930 --> 00:23:41,530
into over the long term, and you're going

560
00:23:41,530 --> 00:23:44,390
to be investing that literally, you're going to

561
00:23:44,390 --> 00:23:46,570
become a part owner of it or a

562
00:23:46,570 --> 00:23:47,690
participant in it.

563
00:23:47,890 --> 00:23:51,730
With all the sports betting opportunities out there.

564
00:23:53,210 --> 00:23:55,870
Maybe, maybe you get a better chance at

565
00:23:55,870 --> 00:23:58,470
picking your favorite basketball team in the playoffs

566
00:23:58,470 --> 00:24:02,070
here, then you do have analyzing a stock

567
00:24:02,070 --> 00:24:03,430
and picking on a certain day at a

568
00:24:03,430 --> 00:24:05,950
certain moment, whether or not the price is

569
00:24:05,950 --> 00:24:07,650
right and what the future of that is.

570
00:24:09,130 --> 00:24:11,070
But that goes on to something he says

571
00:24:11,070 --> 00:24:14,190
in the last section of this article, with

572
00:24:14,190 --> 00:24:16,190
the title of the section four is develop

573
00:24:16,190 --> 00:24:17,170
emotional discipline.

574
00:24:17,810 --> 00:24:19,150
And there's a lot in there.

575
00:24:19,430 --> 00:24:21,690
But what I'm talking about is that one

576
00:24:21,690 --> 00:24:23,410
of the suggestions is to keep a mad

577
00:24:23,410 --> 00:24:24,190
money account.

578
00:24:24,190 --> 00:24:27,250
Um, so if you're compelled, I worked with

579
00:24:27,250 --> 00:24:28,750
a guy once, it was a long time

580
00:24:28,750 --> 00:24:28,990
ago.

581
00:24:29,510 --> 00:24:32,490
This is when you used to have to

582
00:24:32,490 --> 00:24:36,050
call your broker to buy a stock before

583
00:24:36,050 --> 00:24:36,890
your day, Russell.

584
00:24:39,670 --> 00:24:42,390
So he would read something in the paper,

585
00:24:42,390 --> 00:24:44,290
or someone would tell him something.

586
00:24:44,750 --> 00:24:46,270
And if he thought it was a good

587
00:24:46,270 --> 00:24:48,350
idea, he would literally say, I'll be right

588
00:24:48,350 --> 00:24:48,650
back.

589
00:24:49,130 --> 00:24:50,710
Kind of like the movies, you get the

590
00:24:50,710 --> 00:24:52,570
tip, he would go and call and say,

591
00:24:52,830 --> 00:24:55,790
give me 50 shares of whatever.

592
00:24:56,510 --> 00:24:59,610
And seems like it's a whole nother world.

593
00:24:59,710 --> 00:25:01,210
Actually, I'm sure a lot of our listeners

594
00:25:01,210 --> 00:25:02,190
remember those days.

595
00:25:02,450 --> 00:25:04,830
Now you can do it yourself or your

596
00:25:04,830 --> 00:25:06,030
advisors doing it for you.

597
00:25:06,270 --> 00:25:09,730
But, and he never talked about and I

598
00:25:09,730 --> 00:25:11,550
would, I would remember I was interested in

599
00:25:11,550 --> 00:25:11,850
this.

600
00:25:13,650 --> 00:25:15,170
I was investing myself.

601
00:25:15,490 --> 00:25:17,530
So I was listening and I didn't take

602
00:25:17,530 --> 00:25:17,930
notes.

603
00:25:18,190 --> 00:25:21,150
Obviously, he was a friend, but he never

604
00:25:21,150 --> 00:25:22,370
talked about his losers.

605
00:25:23,650 --> 00:25:24,130
Yeah.

606
00:25:24,870 --> 00:25:26,390
You know, and just like people who bet,

607
00:25:26,550 --> 00:25:26,750
right?

608
00:25:27,450 --> 00:25:30,170
Most people, most, most people who gamble, most

609
00:25:30,170 --> 00:25:32,330
people who go to Vegas or they do

610
00:25:32,330 --> 00:25:35,630
sports betting, and they say, you wouldn't believe

611
00:25:35,630 --> 00:25:35,790
it.

612
00:25:35,990 --> 00:25:37,970
I went to Vegas this weekend and I

613
00:25:37,970 --> 00:25:38,890
won $5,000.

614
00:25:39,230 --> 00:25:39,710
Right.

615
00:25:39,890 --> 00:25:40,330
Yeah.

616
00:25:41,530 --> 00:25:43,390
And they believe me folks.

617
00:25:43,390 --> 00:25:45,530
And I think, you know, this, there are

618
00:25:45,530 --> 00:25:46,850
no exceptions long-term.

619
00:25:47,370 --> 00:25:48,910
Somebody might get lucky, right?

620
00:25:49,030 --> 00:25:51,650
People do win the lottery, but most people

621
00:25:51,650 --> 00:25:54,090
who gamble or day trade, the data is

622
00:25:54,090 --> 00:25:56,050
very clear on either one.

623
00:25:56,670 --> 00:25:58,110
They do not make money.

624
00:25:59,430 --> 00:25:59,550
Right.

625
00:26:00,010 --> 00:26:02,270
But still they tell you about their wins,

626
00:26:02,350 --> 00:26:02,550
right?

627
00:26:03,090 --> 00:26:03,370
Yeah.

628
00:26:03,430 --> 00:26:05,310
I have a very short memory for the,

629
00:26:05,310 --> 00:26:06,230
for the losers.

630
00:26:08,070 --> 00:26:10,950
So as part of this developing emotional discipline,

631
00:26:11,190 --> 00:26:14,650
I think Benjamin Graham and most people, most

632
00:26:14,650 --> 00:26:18,370
advisors, us included, know that some clients have

633
00:26:18,370 --> 00:26:20,470
this propensity that they want to pick their

634
00:26:20,470 --> 00:26:20,890
own stocks.

635
00:26:20,930 --> 00:26:21,770
They want to day trade.

636
00:26:22,110 --> 00:26:23,330
They want to invest short-term.

637
00:26:23,470 --> 00:26:26,590
They want to pick their own like things

638
00:26:26,590 --> 00:26:28,010
that they have a hunch about.

639
00:26:28,330 --> 00:26:30,830
And so they call it a, they call

640
00:26:30,830 --> 00:26:31,870
it a mad money account.

641
00:26:31,950 --> 00:26:34,790
We call it a sandbox account where clients

642
00:26:34,790 --> 00:26:36,290
will say, okay, I want you to manage

643
00:26:36,290 --> 00:26:37,450
our, this is super common.

644
00:26:38,070 --> 00:26:40,010
I've been with Chris five years now, and

645
00:26:40,010 --> 00:26:41,950
I did not know that this was common,

646
00:26:41,990 --> 00:26:44,970
but people are prudent enough.

647
00:26:45,150 --> 00:26:47,590
And, you know, wise enough to say, here's

648
00:26:47,590 --> 00:26:48,390
my nest egg.

649
00:26:49,050 --> 00:26:50,810
I know what I don't know.

650
00:26:51,510 --> 00:26:53,050
So I want you to manage it.

651
00:26:53,130 --> 00:26:54,450
And we, I want a financial plan.

652
00:26:54,590 --> 00:26:56,650
I want it professionally managed because they are

653
00:26:56,650 --> 00:27:00,310
smart enough to know that they should have

654
00:27:00,310 --> 00:27:01,390
some help, right?

655
00:27:01,850 --> 00:27:06,490
But they also have this desire to trade

656
00:27:06,490 --> 00:27:09,970
stocks or to make investments on their own.

657
00:27:10,110 --> 00:27:11,770
And so they have a sandbox account and,

658
00:27:11,970 --> 00:27:14,030
you know, obviously it comes from the idea

659
00:27:14,030 --> 00:27:15,670
of we're all kids at heart.

660
00:27:16,250 --> 00:27:18,230
We like, are you still playing the sandbox?

661
00:27:20,190 --> 00:27:22,150
So it's okay.

662
00:27:22,290 --> 00:27:24,450
If you have this propensity, it's having the

663
00:27:24,450 --> 00:27:26,230
discipline to keep it to a very small

664
00:27:26,230 --> 00:27:30,510
amount of your net worth and to keep

665
00:27:30,510 --> 00:27:33,230
it not part of your financial plan, just

666
00:27:33,230 --> 00:27:36,370
as if you had a, you know, a

667
00:27:36,370 --> 00:27:39,010
little secret fund where you gambled on sports

668
00:27:39,010 --> 00:27:42,170
that shouldn't be written into your financial plan.

669
00:27:42,290 --> 00:27:44,490
Either of that, when you turn 65, you're

670
00:27:44,490 --> 00:27:45,570
going to win the biggest bet of your

671
00:27:45,570 --> 00:27:47,310
life and that's your financial plan, right?

672
00:27:47,710 --> 00:27:47,850
Yeah.

673
00:27:48,350 --> 00:27:50,190
So emotional discipline.

674
00:27:51,370 --> 00:27:54,410
And it's interesting that it notes that Graham

675
00:27:54,410 --> 00:27:56,450
actually, it wasn't like, oh yeah, you can

676
00:27:56,450 --> 00:27:58,630
have your sandbox account and your mad money

677
00:27:58,630 --> 00:27:58,810
account.

678
00:27:58,850 --> 00:28:00,930
He actually advocated for the idea to have

679
00:28:00,930 --> 00:28:04,170
one of these like sandbox type accounts and

680
00:28:04,170 --> 00:28:07,750
speculating with restraint was what he recommended.

681
00:28:07,910 --> 00:28:09,170
I think that's the idea.

682
00:28:09,350 --> 00:28:11,790
Just, you know, a little smaller sum of

683
00:28:11,790 --> 00:28:13,410
money that you can play around with.

684
00:28:13,430 --> 00:28:14,490
You can take bets on those.

685
00:28:15,670 --> 00:28:17,030
And that's a little bit more like the

686
00:28:17,030 --> 00:28:17,350
betting.

687
00:28:17,950 --> 00:28:19,070
It is like betting.

688
00:28:19,310 --> 00:28:23,930
I mean, really anything short term, the analogy

689
00:28:23,930 --> 00:28:27,230
with sports betting is, I think, very accurate

690
00:28:27,230 --> 00:28:31,030
because, I mean, if you're sports bet, you

691
00:28:31,030 --> 00:28:32,850
don't, it's not like you're playing bingo and

692
00:28:32,850 --> 00:28:33,710
you're waiting for your number.

693
00:28:33,850 --> 00:28:36,210
It's just a random spin of the roulette

694
00:28:36,210 --> 00:28:37,530
wheel buying a lottery ticket.

695
00:28:37,610 --> 00:28:39,650
That's gambling, certainly.

696
00:28:39,830 --> 00:28:42,250
But when you're sports betting, most of the

697
00:28:42,250 --> 00:28:44,730
people that I know think that they know

698
00:28:44,730 --> 00:28:46,530
who's going to win the game or they

699
00:28:46,530 --> 00:28:49,650
think that they're confident in, you know, which

700
00:28:49,650 --> 00:28:52,430
basketball player is going to get the most

701
00:28:52,430 --> 00:28:54,070
points tonight in a playoff game.

702
00:28:54,690 --> 00:28:58,350
They make that bet with a feeling that

703
00:28:58,350 --> 00:29:00,070
they are going to win because of their

704
00:29:00,070 --> 00:29:03,470
knowledge and experience in watching basketball games.

705
00:29:04,010 --> 00:29:07,090
And the same thing really applies to day

706
00:29:07,090 --> 00:29:07,470
trading.

707
00:29:08,310 --> 00:29:10,970
Because you can be, you can study a

708
00:29:10,970 --> 00:29:14,610
company for a month.

709
00:29:14,830 --> 00:29:15,870
You can read everything.

710
00:29:16,070 --> 00:29:17,930
You can listen to all the earnings calls.

711
00:29:18,070 --> 00:29:19,110
You can watch CNBC.

712
00:29:19,390 --> 00:29:22,530
You can get advice from five different people

713
00:29:22,530 --> 00:29:24,270
about an individual stock.

714
00:29:24,270 --> 00:29:26,930
And if you're investing in it at one

715
00:29:26,930 --> 00:29:29,650
given time for a short term gain, there's

716
00:29:29,650 --> 00:29:31,410
no way any of those people that you

717
00:29:31,410 --> 00:29:33,570
talk to or anything that you read can

718
00:29:33,570 --> 00:29:36,010
accurately predict what's going to happen in the

719
00:29:36,010 --> 00:29:38,730
short term, which is, you know, a section

720
00:29:38,730 --> 00:29:41,710
we talked about long-term perspective.

721
00:29:42,410 --> 00:29:43,890
So you can be totally right.

722
00:29:44,010 --> 00:29:45,670
You can be totally right about the talent

723
00:29:45,670 --> 00:29:48,070
of Jason Tatum on the Celtics and he

724
00:29:48,070 --> 00:29:49,790
can still have a bad couple of games.

725
00:29:50,210 --> 00:29:50,650
Yeah.

726
00:29:51,110 --> 00:29:51,410
Right.

727
00:29:51,450 --> 00:29:53,750
And you can be totally right about hypothetically

728
00:29:53,750 --> 00:29:57,630
buying Apple because of X, Y, Z reasons.

729
00:29:57,810 --> 00:29:59,590
And they can be very valid, but that

730
00:29:59,590 --> 00:30:02,270
doesn't mean that something in the world, a

731
00:30:02,270 --> 00:30:07,290
tariff, a war, you know, whatever, one bad

732
00:30:07,290 --> 00:30:10,290
earnings report doesn't submarine that bet in the

733
00:30:10,290 --> 00:30:10,750
short term.

734
00:30:11,670 --> 00:30:14,210
So having that long-term perspective, keeping that

735
00:30:14,210 --> 00:30:18,590
emotional intelligence, watching out for stock market volatility

736
00:30:18,590 --> 00:30:21,750
and controlling your investment risk of the lessons

737
00:30:21,750 --> 00:30:25,030
of the day from Warren Buffett.

738
00:30:25,430 --> 00:30:27,650
Really, though, I mean, we give him credit

739
00:30:27,650 --> 00:30:30,390
for those, but really from his mentor and

740
00:30:30,390 --> 00:30:33,790
his professor and the author of The Intelligent

741
00:30:33,790 --> 00:30:34,910
Investor, Benjamin Graham.

742
00:30:35,130 --> 00:30:37,350
So thanks.

743
00:30:37,450 --> 00:30:39,190
Thanks for joining me today, Russ.

744
00:30:39,730 --> 00:30:41,250
I think it was a great discussion.

745
00:30:41,390 --> 00:30:43,990
It's really interesting to go back and put

746
00:30:43,990 --> 00:30:47,890
all that history starting in 1949, I guess,

747
00:30:48,450 --> 00:30:50,110
started before that, but when he writes the

748
00:30:50,110 --> 00:30:53,790
book 1949 and thinking about what Warren Buffett

749
00:30:53,790 --> 00:30:58,110
has learned from him, Benjamin Graham, and the

750
00:30:58,110 --> 00:30:59,310
success that he has had.

751
00:30:59,510 --> 00:31:02,170
And it just is smart to take these

752
00:31:02,170 --> 00:31:04,050
lessons of the people who've come before us

753
00:31:04,050 --> 00:31:05,630
and apply them to today's principles.

754
00:31:05,930 --> 00:31:07,350
And it kind of takes you out of

755
00:31:07,350 --> 00:31:07,990
your bubble too.

756
00:31:08,130 --> 00:31:10,850
It takes you, you know, away from this

757
00:31:10,850 --> 00:31:12,830
thinking of, oh my gosh, the market's doing

758
00:31:12,830 --> 00:31:14,410
this and that one day to the next.

759
00:31:14,410 --> 00:31:16,490
And when you build a big picture, like

760
00:31:16,490 --> 00:31:18,070
this kind of stuff has been happening for

761
00:31:18,070 --> 00:31:20,590
a very long time and we're not the

762
00:31:20,590 --> 00:31:21,930
first to go.

763
00:31:22,130 --> 00:31:23,230
I mean, we're the many of the first

764
00:31:23,230 --> 00:31:25,990
to go through something specifically like this scenario.

765
00:31:26,410 --> 00:31:29,890
And every time there's a new, this time

766
00:31:29,890 --> 00:31:30,430
is different.

767
00:31:30,890 --> 00:31:32,830
It's going to feel like this is brand

768
00:31:32,830 --> 00:31:32,950
new.

769
00:31:32,990 --> 00:31:34,630
This is like, this changes the game.

770
00:31:34,730 --> 00:31:35,610
This changes everything.

771
00:31:35,830 --> 00:31:38,350
But that has been happening for, you know,

772
00:31:38,390 --> 00:31:39,530
the last hundred plus years.

773
00:31:39,530 --> 00:31:40,190
Forever.

774
00:31:40,430 --> 00:31:40,670
You're right.

775
00:31:40,830 --> 00:31:43,850
It could have been the financial crisis, could

776
00:31:43,850 --> 00:31:44,930
have been the housing crisis.

777
00:31:45,210 --> 00:31:46,090
It could have been 9-11.

778
00:31:47,190 --> 00:31:50,270
It could have been COVID and now it's

779
00:31:50,270 --> 00:31:50,930
tariffs.

780
00:31:51,810 --> 00:31:54,870
So, you know what they say about mistakes,

781
00:31:55,090 --> 00:31:56,710
you're bound to repeat them unless you learn

782
00:31:56,710 --> 00:31:57,670
the lessons from history.

783
00:31:58,570 --> 00:32:00,390
So that was our intent today.

784
00:32:00,430 --> 00:32:02,790
And I hope you enjoyed the podcast and

785
00:32:02,790 --> 00:32:04,310
I hope you'll tune in each week to

786
00:32:04,310 --> 00:32:05,790
listen to something more with Chris Boyd.

787
00:32:05,890 --> 00:32:08,130
Chris Boyd will be back next week for

788
00:32:08,130 --> 00:32:09,330
another interesting topic.

789
00:32:09,470 --> 00:32:12,350
Until then, keep striving for something more.

790
00:32:37,390 --> 00:32:41,290
Send us your questions to amr-info at

791
00:32:41,290 --> 00:32:42,850
wealthenhancement.com.

792
00:32:43,270 --> 00:32:44,970
You're listening to Something More with Chris Boyd

793
00:32:44,970 --> 00:32:45,810
Financial Talk Show.

794
00:32:45,950 --> 00:32:48,430
Wealth Enhancement Advisory Services and Jay Christopher Boyd

795
00:32:48,430 --> 00:32:50,750
provide investment advice on an individual basis to

796
00:32:50,750 --> 00:32:51,290
clients only.

797
00:32:51,450 --> 00:32:53,430
Proper advice depends on a complete analysis of

798
00:32:53,430 --> 00:32:54,630
all facts and circumstances.

799
00:32:54,870 --> 00:32:56,710
The information given on this program is general

800
00:32:56,710 --> 00:32:58,750
financial comments and cannot be relied upon as

801
00:32:58,750 --> 00:33:00,310
pertaining to your specific situation.

802
00:33:00,530 --> 00:33:02,510
Wealth Enhancement Group cannot guarantee that using the

803
00:33:02,510 --> 00:33:04,510
information from this show will generate profits or

804
00:33:04,510 --> 00:33:05,610
ensure freedom from loss.

805
00:33:05,810 --> 00:33:07,990
Listeners should consult their own financial advisors or

806
00:33:07,990 --> 00:33:10,090
conduct their own due diligence before making any

807
00:33:10,090 --> 00:33:10,870
financial decisions.